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Pro League
Referee: L Visser
Gent
S U U U T
1–2
Full-time
Oostende
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Oostende
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
4,5
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
1,2
3,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 29/35 matches
Win Ø 38%
59%
17%
Points per game
1,9
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
52%
74%
Both score Ø 51%
41%
60%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,1
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
19 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
4 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 4. · Oostende 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 29 22 5 2 +47 71
2 Antwerp 30 22 4 4 +37 70
3 St. Gilloise 29 22 4 3 +29 70
4 Gent 29 17 5 7 +34 56
5 Club Brugge 29 16 7 6 +23 55
6 Charleroi 34 16 5 13 +2 53
7 Anderlecht 34 15 7 12 +12 52
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 35 13 9 13 +11 48
9 St Truiden 36 13 9 14 -1 48
10 Cercle Brugge 29 12 10 7 +9 46
11 Standard 28 13 5 10 +5 44
12 Westerlo 30 11 10 9 +6 43
13 Mechelen 34 10 7 17 -19 37
14 Kortrijk 35 10 7 18 -20 37
15 Waregem 35 7 10 18 -25 31
16 Eupen 35 8 7 20 -29 31
17 Oostende 35 6 7 22 -41 25
18 Seraing 34 5 5 24 -40 20
19 Seraing United 34 5 5 24 -40 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Oostende
22′
🟨 Tatsuhiro Sakamoto
42′
🟨 Cameron McGeehan
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Z. Medley
↦ T. Ndicka
52′
F. Hornby 0–1
S. Dewaele
A. Castro-Montes 🔁
↦ J. Torunarigha
57′
Hong Hyun-Seok 🔁
↦ V. Odjidja-Ofoe
57′
T. Tissoudali 🔁
↦ M. Fofana
57′
B. Godeau 🔁
↦ M. Samoise
57′
L. Depoitre 🔁
↦ G. Orban
76′
1–1 H. Cuypers
S. Kums
77′
Kamil Piątkowski 🟨
78′
78′
🔁 K. Arase
↦ S. Wylin
88′
N. Bätzner 1–2
K. Arase
90′
🔁 A. Amade
↦ S. Dewaele
Alessio Castro-Montes 🟨
94′
95′
🟨 Fraser Hornby
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Gent

3-5-2
1 P. Nardi G
4 K. Piątkowski D
2 J. Okumu D
23 J. Torunarigha D
18 M. Samoise M
24 S. Kums M
13 J. De Sart M
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe M
19 M. Fofana M
11 H. Cuypers F
20 G. Orban F
Bench (7)
14 A. Castro-Montes
7 Hong Hyun-Seok
34 T. Tissoudali
31 B. Godeau
29 L. Depoitre
33 D. Roef
10 J. Hauge

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Oostende

3-4-3
28 G. Hubert G
2 O. Urhoghide D
88 M. Rodin D
33 A. Tanghe D
36 S. Wylin M
16 S. Dewaele M
8 C. McGeehan M
7 T. Ndicka M
18 T. Sakamoto F
9 F. Hornby F
34 N. Bätzner F
Bench (7)
3 Z. Medley
26 K. Arase
23 A. Amade
90 M. Berte
1 D. Phillips
19 M. Osifo
17 I. Durdov

Coach: D. Thalhammer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,21
U
6,71
B ✓
11,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,36
U2,5
3,03
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.