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Süper Lig

Referee: V Bayarslan

Galatasaray

S T S S S

3–3

Full-time

Karagumruk

U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

2,8

2,2

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,3

+0,8

This season — Süper Lig · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 58%

79%

36%

Points per game

2,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

71%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

2,3

2,1

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+0,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–3

65% Possession 35%

24 Shots 7

9 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Galatasaray 1. · Karagumruk 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Galatasaray	28	22	3	3	+44	69
2	Fenerbahce	28	20	3	5	+36	63
3	Besiktas	30	18	8	4	+29	62
4	Ad. Demirspor	30	16	9	5	+29	57
5	Buyuksehyr	28	13	6	9	+7	45
6	Trabzonspor	29	13	6	10	+4	45
7	Kayserispor	30	14	3	13	-2	45
8	Konyaspor	30	10	12	8	+5	42
9	Karagumruk	28	10	10	8	+9	40
10	Alanyaspor	30	9	8	13	-10	35
11	Sivasspor	29	9	7	13	-2	34
12	Antalyaspor	28	9	6	13	-6	33
13	Kasimpasa	30	9	6	15	-14	33
14	Ankaragücü	28	9	4	15	-9	31
15	İstanbulspor	28	8	4	16	-22	28
16	Giresunspor	28	6	9	13	-22	27
17	Ümraniyespor	30	6	8	16	-13	26
18	Gaziantep	30	6	7	17	-23	25
19	Hatayspor	28	6	5	17	-40	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ad. Demirspor	15	11	4	0	+29	37
2	Galatasaray	14	12	1	1	+20	37
3	Besiktas	15	11	3	1	+21	36
4	Fenerbahce	14	10	1	3	+19	31
5	Trabzonspor	15	9	4	2	+16	31
6	Buyuksehyr	14	9	1	4	+6	28
7	Kayserispor	15	8	2	5	+8	26
8	Alanyaspor	15	7	4	4	+6	25
9	Antalyaspor	14	7	2	5	+5	23
10	Kasimpasa	16	6	3	7	-2	21
11	Karagumruk	14	5	5	4	+6	20
12	Ankaragücü	14	6	2	6	+0	20
13	Sivasspor	14	4	6	4	+4	18
14	Konyaspor	15	4	6	5	-1	18
15	Hatayspor	13	4	4	5	-10	16
16	Giresunspor	13	4	3	6	-5	15
17	İstanbulspor	14	4	3	7	-8	15
18	Ümraniyespor	16	3	4	9	-5	13
19	Gaziantep	15	3	4	8	-11	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Galatasaray	14	10	2	2	+24	32
2	Fenerbahce	14	10	2	2	+17	32
3	Besiktas	15	7	5	3	+8	26
4	Konyaspor	15	6	6	3	+6	24
5	Karagumruk	14	5	5	4	+3	20
6	Ad. Demirspor	15	5	5	5	+0	20
7	Kayserispor	15	6	1	8	-10	19
8	Buyuksehyr	14	4	5	5	+1	17
9	Sivasspor	15	5	1	9	-6	16
10	Trabzonspor	14	4	2	8	-12	14
11	Ümraniyespor	14	3	4	7	-8	13
12	İstanbulspor	14	4	1	9	-14	13
13	Gaziantep	15	3	3	9	-12	12
14	Kasimpasa	14	3	3	8	-12	12
15	Giresunspor	15	2	6	7	-17	12
16	Ankaragücü	14	3	2	9	-9	11
17	Antalyaspor	14	2	4	8	-11	10
18	Alanyaspor	15	2	4	9	-16	10
19	Hatayspor	15	2	1	12	-30	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.