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Süper Lig
Referee: D Tonusluoğlu
Ad. Demirspor
S T S S S
5–3
Full-time
Kayserispor
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Kayserispor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,3
4,0
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
1,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,7
This season — Süper Lig · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 50%
52%
48%
Points per game
1,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
59%
69%
Both score Ø 56%
59%
52%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,6
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–3

39% Possession 61%
16 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ad. Demirspor 4. · Kayserispor 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 28 22 3 3 +44 69
2 Fenerbahce 28 20 3 5 +36 63
3 Besiktas 30 18 8 4 +29 62
4 Ad. Demirspor 29 15 9 5 +27 54
5 Buyuksehyr 28 13 6 9 +7 45
6 Trabzonspor 29 13 6 10 +4 45
7 Kayserispor 29 14 3 12 +0 45
8 Konyaspor 30 10 12 8 +5 42
9 Karagumruk 28 10 10 8 +9 40
10 Alanyaspor 30 9 8 13 -10 35
11 Sivasspor 29 9 7 13 -2 34
12 Antalyaspor 28 9 6 13 -6 33
13 Kasimpasa 30 9 6 15 -14 33
14 Ankaragücü 28 9 4 15 -9 31
15 İstanbulspor 28 8 4 16 -22 28
16 Giresunspor 28 6 9 13 -22 27
17 Ümraniyespor 30 6 8 16 -13 26
18 Gaziantep 30 6 7 17 -23 25
19 Hatayspor 28 6 5 17 -40 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ad. Demirspor Kayserispor
1–0 C. Ndiaye
Kévin Rodrigues
7′
24′
M. Thiam 1–1
Miguel Cardoso
2–1 C. Ndiaye
B. Stambouli
27′
30′
M. Thiam 2–2
Carlos Mané
3–2 Y. Belhanda
İ. Çokçalış
32′
Cherif Ndiaye ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
44′
Half-time 3–2
İsmail Çokçalış 🟨
46′
49′
M. Thiam 3–3
Carlos Mané
Henry Onyekuru ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
50′
4–3 Y. Sarı
İ. Çokçalış
51′
51′
🟨 Arif Kocaman
5–3 H. Onyekuru
52′
56′
🔁 R. Civelek
↦ A. Kocaman
59′
🟨 Miguel Cardoso
F. Gulbrandsen 🔁
↦ H. Onyekuru
72′
E. Akbaba 🔁
↦ Y. Belhanda
72′
76′
🟨 Bernard Mensah
76′
🔁 M. Gavranović
↦ Y. Ackah
83′
🟥 Bilal Bayazit
83′
ℹ️ Olivier Kemen
VAR: Card upgrade
85′
🔁 C. Gönen
↦ Miguel Cardoso
85′
🔁 E. Başsan
↦ M. Thiam
F. Soyalp 🔁
↦ G. İnler
86′
Y. Erdoğan 🔁
↦ Y. Sarı
86′
Emre Akbaba 🟨
87′
A. Dursun 🔁
↦ İ. Çokçalış
92′
Full-time 5–3

Line-ups

Ad. Demirspor

4-2-2-2
25 E. Özbir G
16 İ. Çokçalış D
5 J. Morel D
4 S. Güler D
77 Kévin Rodrigues D
90 B. Stambouli M
88 G. İnler M
26 Y. Sarı M
7 H. Onyekuru M
29 C. Ndiaye F
10 Y. Belhanda F
Bench (10)
23 F. Gulbrandsen
20 E. Akbaba
27 F. Soyalp
32 Y. Erdoğan
3 A. Dursun
39 V. Karakuş
15 J. Manev
18 G. Karačić
45 M. Çetin
46 S. Nongoh

Coach: V. Montella

Kayserispor

4-1-4-1
25 B. Bayazıt G
80 A. Uzodimma D
54 A. Kocaman D
3 J. Attamah D
11 G. Sazdağı D
89 Y. Ackah M
20 Carlos Mané M
43 B. Mensah F
10 O. Kemen M
7 Miguel Cardoso M
27 M. Thiam F
Bench (10)
28 R. Civelek
19 M. Gavranović
1 C. Gönen
17 E. Başsan
23 İ. Parlak
24 B. Eskin
4 D. Kolovetsios
35 M. Dinç
34 A. Malatyalı
32 E. Balcı

Coach: Ç. Atan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,59
U
4,35
B
4,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,45
U2,5
2,67
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Tonusluoğlu · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.