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LaLiga2

Referee: Álvaro Moreno

Lugo

U T U U T

0–2

Full-time

Malaga

U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,2

1,8

Scored

0,3

1,2

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

This season — LaLiga2 · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 18%

14%

22%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 31%

31%

Both score Ø 42%

39%

44%

Average goals

1,9

Scored

0,6

0,9

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

49% Possession 51%

11 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 7

3 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugo 22. · Malaga 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eibar	37	18	12	7	+10	66
2	Granada	36	19	7	10	+20	64
3	Las Palmas	37	16	15	6	+16	63
4	Alaves	36	17	11	8	+14	62
5	Levante	37	15	17	5	+13	62
6	Albacete	37	15	13	9	+5	58
7	Cartagena	37	16	8	13	+5	56
8	Andorra	37	14	9	14	+9	51
9	Burgos	36	12	14	10	+3	50
10	Oviedo	37	13	10	14	-3	49
11	Zaragoza	37	11	15	11	+1	48
12	Tenerife	36	11	13	12	+3	46
13	Huesca	36	10	16	10	+1	46
14	Villarreal B	37	12	10	15	-5	46
15	Leganes	36	12	10	14	-5	46
16	Sp Gijon	37	10	15	12	-2	45
17	Mirandes	36	11	12	13	-3	45
18	Santander	36	10	11	15	-5	41
19	Malaga	36	8	12	16	-8	36
20	Ponferradina	37	7	15	15	-17	36
21	Ibiza	37	6	11	20	-28	29
22	Lugo	36	5	12	19	-24	27

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Granada	18	15	3	0	+29	48
2	Eibar	19	11	7	1	+12	40
3	Alaves	18	11	6	1	+15	39
4	Las Palmas	19	9	7	3	+11	34
5	Huesca	18	9	7	2	+11	34
6	Tenerife	18	9	6	3	+13	33
7	Levante	18	9	6	3	+11	33
8	Albacete	18	9	5	4	+10	32
9	Leganes	19	9	5	5	+3	32
10	Andorra	18	9	3	6	+11	30
11	Villarreal B	19	8	6	5	+7	30
12	Mirandes	18	8	6	4	+5	30
13	Cartagena	19	9	3	7	+0	30
14	Sp Gijon	18	7	8	3	+7	29
15	Zaragoza	18	7	8	3	+7	29
16	Burgos	18	7	8	3	+6	29
17	Oviedo	18	7	5	6	+0	26
18	Malaga	18	6	7	5	+1	25
19	Santander	17	5	6	6	+1	21
20	Ponferradina	19	5	6	8	-8	21
21	Ibiza	19	4	7	8	-6	19
22	Lugo	18	3	9	6	-3	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	18	7	8	3	+5	29
2	Levante	19	6	11	2	+2	29
3	Cartagena	18	7	5	6	+5	26
4	Eibar	18	7	5	6	-2	26
5	Albacete	19	6	8	5	-5	26
6	Alaves	18	6	5	7	-1	23
7	Oviedo	19	6	5	8	-3	23
8	Andorra	19	5	6	8	-2	21
9	Burgos	18	5	6	7	-3	21
10	Santander	19	5	5	9	-6	20
11	Zaragoza	19	4	7	8	-6	19
12	Sp Gijon	19	3	7	9	-9	16
13	Granada	18	4	4	10	-9	16
14	Villarreal B	18	4	4	10	-12	16
15	Mirandes	18	3	6	9	-8	15
16	Ponferradina	18	2	9	7	-9	15
17	Leganes	17	3	5	9	-8	14
18	Tenerife	18	2	7	9	-10	13
19	Huesca	18	1	9	8	-10	12
20	Malaga	18	2	5	11	-9	11
21	Ibiza	18	2	4	12	-22	10
22	Lugo	18	2	3	13	-21	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.