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Super League
Referee: E Staubli
Lugano
S U T U U
2–0
Full-time
Sion
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Sion
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
1,8
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Super League · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 29%
32%
25%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
64%
Both score Ø 66%
71%
61%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

70% Possession 30%
12 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Corners 2
3 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 7
1 Red cards 2
The table before the match Lugano 4. · Sion 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 29 17 10 2 +48 61
2 Luzern 29 11 9 9 +6 42
3 Servette 29 9 14 6 -5 41
4 Lugano 28 9 10 9 +1 37
5 Grasshoppers 29 10 7 12 -5 37
6 St. Gallen 28 9 9 10 +9 36
7 Basel 29 8 12 9 +2 36
8 Zurich 28 6 12 10 -15 30
9 Sion 28 7 9 12 -16 30
10 Winterthur 29 7 8 14 -25 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lugano Sion
Renato Steffen 🟨
9′
21′
🟨 Joel Schmied
38′
🟨 Wylan Cyprien
Half-time 0–0
49′
🟨 Abdel Rachid Zagré
51′
🟨 Abdel Rachid Zagré
51′
🟥 Abdel Rachid Zagré
H. Mahmoud 🔁
↦ R. Macek
58′
M. Valenzuela 🔁
↦ A. Hajdari
58′
M. Amoura 🔁
↦ J. Sabbatini
68′
68′
🔁 K. Halabaku
↦ K. Bua
72′
🟨 Gora Diouf
Mohamed Haj Mahmoud 🟨
74′
Ž. Celar 🔁
↦ M. Bottani
77′
77′
🔁 D. Poha
↦ W. Cyprien
Mohamed Haj Mahmoud 🟨
78′
Mohamed Haj Mahmoud 🟥
78′
88′
🔁 G. Karlen
↦ G. Sio
89′
🟨 Baltazar
1–0 M. Valenzuela
90′
93′
🟨 Gora Diouf
93′
🟥 Gora Diouf
2–0 M. Amoura
R. Steffen
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Lugano

4-3-3
1 A. Saipi G
34 A. Arigoni D
4 K. Hajrizi D
30 F. Daprelà D
5 A. Hajdari D
77 R. Macek M
20 O. Doumbia M
14 J. Sabbatini M
11 R. Steffen F
31 I. Aliseda F
10 M. Bottani F
Bench (8)
29 H. Mahmoud
23 M. Valenzuela
47 M. Amoura
9 Ž. Celar
24 C. Nkama
58 S. Osigwe
6 J. Espinoza
7 M. Facchinetti

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Sion

4-4-2
18 K. Fickentscher G
19 N. Lavanchy D
2 J. Schmied D
39 N. Saintini D
4 G. Diouf D
33 K. Bua M
10 W. Cyprien M
20 M. Araz M
8 Baltazar Costa M
13 G. Sio F
27 A. Zagré F
Bench (8)
29 K. Halabaku
22 D. Poha
11 G. Karlen
17 Y. Fortune
97 D. Cavaré
9 I. Chouaref
14 A. Grgić
12 A. Safarikas

Coach: D. Bettoni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Staubli · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.