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Super League
Referee: S Wolfensberger
Basel
S U U U S
0–2
Full-time
Luzern
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 33%
29%
36%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
39%
54%
Both score Ø 61%
57%
64%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
4 Shots 10
0 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 7
16 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Basel 7. · Luzern 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 29 17 10 2 +48 61
2 Servette 29 9 14 6 -5 41
3 Luzern 28 10 9 9 +4 39
4 Lugano 28 9 10 9 +1 37
5 Grasshoppers 29 10 7 12 -5 37
6 St. Gallen 28 9 9 10 +9 36
7 Basel 28 8 12 8 +4 36
8 Zurich 28 6 12 10 -15 30
9 Sion 28 7 9 12 -16 30
10 Winterthur 29 7 8 14 -25 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Mar -23 Luzern – Basel 0–1 28. Jan -23 Basel – Luzern 2–3 9. Nov -22 Luzern – Basel 0–2 24. Apr -22 Basel – Luzern 3–0 30. Jan -22 Luzern – Basel 0–3

Match report

Basel Luzern
18′
🟨 Ismajl Beka
Jean-Kévin Augustin 🟨
31′
40′
🟨 Severin Ottiger
Half-time 0–0
54′
🟨 Pascal Schürpf
D. Ndoye 🔁
↦ Hugo Novoa
57′
W. Burger 🔁
↦ A. Kade
57′
Taulant Xhaka 🟨
62′
64′
🔁 M. Dräger
↦ S. Ottiger
A. Zeqiri 🔁
↦ J. Augustin
67′
71′
⚽ D. Sorgić 0–1
M. Frýdek
Darian Males 🟨
79′
A. Diouf 🔁
↦ D. Males
81′
81′
🔁 L. Villiger
↦ M. Meyer
86′
🔁 L. Breedijk
↦ P. Schürpf
86′
🔁 M. Diambou
↦ D. Sorgić
89′
⚽ L. Breedijk 0–2
95′
🟨 Martin Frýdek
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Basel

3-1-4-2
1 M. Hitz G
5 M. Lang D
21 A. Pelmard D
33 R. Calafiori D
34 T. Xhaka M
90 Hugo Novoa M
19 D. Males M
30 A. Kade M
22 Sergio López M
10 J. Augustin F
9 Z. Amdouni F
Bench (8)
27 D. Ndoye
23 W. Burger
17 A. Zeqiri
8 A. Diouf
14 B. Fink
15 K. Adams
13 M. Salvi
18 E. Essiam

Coach: H. Vogel

Luzern

4-3-1-2
1 M. Müller G
74 S. Ottiger D
30 I. Beka D
46 M. Burch D
13 M. Frýdek D
20 P. Dorn M
6 A. Jashari M
18 N. Beloko M
7 M. Meyer M
11 P. Schürpf F
9 D. Sorgić F
Bench (9)
2 M. Dräger
27 L. Villiger
14 L. Breedijk
15 M. Diambou
77 B. Kimpioka
42 M. Willimann
38 P. Loretz
33 L. Meyer
21 Asumah Abubakar

Coach: M. Frick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Wolfensberger · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.