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Premier League

Referee: A Taylor

Bournemouth

T S T S S

0–4

Full-time

West Ham

T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bournemouth West Ham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premier League · 31/30 matches

Win Ø 28%

29%

27%

Points per game

1,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

48%

30%

Both score Ø 40%

39%

40%

Average goals

2,9

2,3

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

1,52 xG 2,43

65% Possession 35%

17 Shots 18

5 Shots on target 10

5 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 5

0 Offside 3

7 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bournemouth 14. · West Ham 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Arsenal	32	23	6	3	+43	+12.3	75
2	Man City	30	22	4	4	+50	+16.9	70
3	Man United	30	18	5	7	+9	+3.1	59
4	Newcastle	30	15	11	4	+24	+5.7	56
5	Tottenham	31	16	5	10	+12	+1.4	53
6	Aston Villa	32	15	6	11	+4	-2.2	51
7	Liverpool	31	14	8	9	+21	+7.7	50
8	Brighton	29	14	7	8	+17	+15.6	49
9	Fulham	31	13	6	12	+2	-5.1	45
10	Brentford	32	10	14	8	+5	+3.4	44
11	Chelsea	31	10	9	12	-3	+3.2	39
12	Crystal Palace	32	9	10	13	-9	-3.1	37
13	Wolves	32	9	7	16	-17	-7.0	34
14	Bournemouth	31	9	6	16	-28	-5.6	33
15	West Ham	30	8	7	15	-12	-1.4	31
16	Leeds	32	7	8	17	-21	-8.7	29
17	Leicester	32	8	4	20	-13	-3.6	28
18	Everton	32	6	10	16	-22	-8.5	28
19	Nott'm Forest	32	6	9	17	-33	-14.1	27
20	Southampton	32	6	6	20	-29	-9.9	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Man City	15	13	1	1	+35	+9.9	40
2	Arsenal	16	12	3	1	+24	+9.7	39
3	Man United	15	11	3	1	+19	+7.6	36
4	Liverpool	15	10	4	1	+26	+9.9	34
5	Tottenham	16	11	0	5	+13	+2.4	33
6	Newcastle	14	8	5	1	+14	+4.1	29
7	Aston Villa	16	9	2	5	+9	+2.2	29
8	Brentford	16	7	7	2	+13	+3.5	28
9	Fulham	16	7	4	5	+1	-0.5	25
10	Brighton	14	7	3	4	+11	+8.8	24
11	Chelsea	16	6	5	5	+3	+3.9	23
12	Wolves	16	7	2	7	-4	-0.2	23
13	West Ham	16	6	4	6	+0	+2.7	22
14	Nott'm Forest	16	5	6	5	-1	-6.8	21
15	Crystal Palace	16	5	6	5	-5	-3.7	21
16	Leeds	16	5	5	6	-8	-1.4	20
17	Bournemouth	15	5	4	6	-4	-1.5	19
18	Everton	16	5	3	8	-6	-0.6	18
19	Leicester	16	4	3	9	-2	-1.0	15
20	Southampton	16	2	4	10	-15	-4.7	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Arsenal	16	11	3	2	+19	+2.6	36
2	Man City	15	9	3	3	+15	+7.0	30
3	Newcastle	16	7	6	3	+10	+1.6	27
4	Brighton	15	7	4	4	+6	+6.7	25
5	Man United	15	7	2	6	-10	-4.5	23
6	Aston Villa	16	6	4	6	-5	-4.4	22
7	Fulham	15	6	2	7	+1	-4.6	20
8	Tottenham	15	5	5	5	-1	-1.0	20
9	Crystal Palace	16	4	4	8	-4	+0.6	16
10	Liverpool	16	4	4	8	-5	-2.3	16
11	Chelsea	15	4	4	7	-6	-0.6	16
12	Brentford	16	3	7	6	-8	-0.2	16
13	Southampton	16	4	2	10	-14	-5.1	14
14	Bournemouth	16	4	2	10	-24	-4.1	14
15	Leicester	16	4	1	11	-11	-2.6	13
16	Wolves	16	2	5	9	-13	-6.8	11
17	Everton	16	1	7	8	-16	-8.0	10
18	West Ham	14	2	3	9	-12	-4.0	9
19	Leeds	16	2	3	11	-13	-7.3	9
20	Nott'm Forest	16	1	3	12	-32	-7.3	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.