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Eliteserien
Referee: O Nilsen
Lillestrom
S S S T S
2–1
Full-time
Molde
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,5
1,5
Scored
2,0
0,5
Conceded
2,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

51% Possession 49%
17 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 4
9 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
11 Corners 9
2 Offside 0
3 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Lillestrom 10. · Molde 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 3 3 0 0 +9 9
2 Ham-Kam 3 2 0 1 +3 6
3 Brann 3 2 0 1 +3 6
4 Odd 3 1 2 0 +2 5
5 Rosenborg 3 1 2 0 +1 5
6 Tromso 3 1 2 0 +1 5
7 Viking 3 1 1 1 +1 4
8 Sarpsborg 08 3 1 1 1 +0 4
9 Stabaek 3 1 1 1 -1 4
10 Lillestrom 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Stromsgodset 3 1 0 2 -2 3
12 Valerenga 3 1 0 2 -3 3
13 Haugesund 3 1 0 2 -5 3
14 Sandefjord 3 0 2 1 -2 2
15 Molde 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Aalesund 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Molde
1–0 K. Tønnessen
G. Åsen
5′
M. Knudsen 🔁
↦ K. Tønnessen
32′
35′
E. Breivik 1–1
2–1 A. Adams
L. Ranger
37′
41′
ℹ️ Magnus Eikrem
VAR: Card upgrade
42′
🟥 Magnus Eikrem
Half-time 2–1
62′
🔁 K. Eriksen
↦ V. Berisha
T. Svendsen 🔁
↦ T. Lehne Olsen
81′
81′
🔁 M. Grødem
↦ E. Knudtzon
81′
🔁 M. Løvik
↦ O. Brynhildsen
V. Skjærvik 🔁
↦ G. Åsen
90′
90′
🔁 A. Hagelskjær
↦ B. Risa
Lars Ranger 🟨
91′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lillestrom

3-5-2
12 M. Hedenstad Christiansen G
4 E. Garnås D
28 R. Gabrielsen D
19 K. Tønnessen D
2 L. Ranger M
7 Y. Ibrahimaj M
6 V. Hoff M
23 G. Åsen M
5 V. Dragsnes M
10 T. Lehne Olsen F
9 A. Adams F
Bench (7)
14 M. Knudsen
24 T. Svendsen
20 V. Skjærvik
1 K. Skjærstein
16 U. Charles
37 L. Neto
22 P. Slørdahl

Coach: G. Bakke

Molde

3-5-2
1 J. Karlstrøm G
4 B. Hansen D
19 E. Haugan D
3 B. Risa D
21 M. Linnes M
9 V. Berisha M
8 S. Heggheim M
16 E. Breivik M
14 E. Knudtzon M
7 M. Eikrem F
11 O. Brynhildsen F
Bench (8)
20 K. Eriksen
22 M. Grødem
31 M. Løvik
25 A. Hagelskjær
33 N. Ødegård
2 M. Bjørnbak
12 O. Petersen
10 E. Kitolano

Coach: E. Moe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

O Nilsen · 75 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.