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Pro League
Referee: B Put
Eupen
T T T S S
3–2
Full-time
Genk
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
This season — Pro League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 55%
50%
60%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
80%
70%
Both score Ø 70%
80%
60%
Average goals
3,1
3,4
Scored
1,9
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

32% Possession 68%
12 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eupen 5. · Genk 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 10 6 2 2 +10 20
2 Antwerp 10 6 2 2 +7 20
3 Anderlecht 9 5 3 1 +12 18
4 Kortrijk 11 5 3 3 +4 18
5 Eupen 10 5 2 3 +7 17
6 Oostende 11 5 2 4 -3 17
7 St. Gilloise 7 5 1 1 +11 16
8 Standard 11 5 1 5 -6 16
9 Club Brugge 8 4 3 1 +4 15
10 St Truiden 10 4 2 4 -2 14
11 Mechelen 9 4 1 4 -2 13
12 Seraing 10 4 0 6 -4 12
13 Seraing United 10 4 0 6 -4 12
14 Charleroi 8 2 5 1 +5 11
15 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 10 1 6 3 -8 9
16 Waregem 11 2 3 6 -12 9
17 Gent 8 2 2 4 +2 8
18 Cercle Brugge 11 2 2 7 -6 8
19 Beerschot VA 10 0 2 8 -15 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eupen Genk
11′
K. Thorstvedt 0–1
J. Ito
1–1 S. Prevljak
16′
24′
🟨 Carel Eiting
Isaac Nuhu 🟨
26′
Half-time 1–1
Boris Lambert 🟨
47′
Jordi Amat 🟥
59′
B. Poulain 🔁
↦ B. Lambert
71′
71′
I. Ugbo 1–2
G. Arteaga
72′
🔁 P. Onuachu
↦ I. Ugbo
72′
🔁 Á. Preciado
↦ D. Muñoz
72′
🔁 T. Bongonda
↦ M. Trésor
J. Déom 🔁
↦ J. Cools
83′
S. Keita 🔁
↦ K. N’Dri
83′
2–2 S. Prevljak
86′
3–2 J. Heris
93′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Eupen

3-5-2
30 R. Himmelmann G
32 A. Beck M
28 J. Heris D
5 Jordi Amat D
35 B. Lambert D
26 J. Cools M
8 S. Peeters M
39 E. Kayembe M
29 I. Nuhu F
9 S. Prevljak F
11 K. N’Dri M
Bench (7)
6 B. Poulain
14 J. Déom
13 S. Keita
24 S. Gnaka
20 T. Magee
77 M. Koné
99 T. Roufosse

Coach: S. Krämer

Genk

4-3-3
26 M. Vandevoordt G
33 J. Lucumí D
46 C. Cuesta D
5 G. Arteaga D
23 D. Muñoz D
20 C. Eiting M
8 B. Heynen M
11 M. Trésor F
42 K. Thorstvedt M
21 I. Ugbo F
7 J. Ito F
Bench (7)
18 P. Onuachu
77 Á. Preciado
10 T. Bongonda
14 B. Toma
24 L. Oyen
40 T. Leysen
2 M. McKenzie

Coach: J. van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,17
U
3,84
B
2,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,50
U2,5
2,54
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Put · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.