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Bundesliga
Referee: F Zwayer
Bielefeld
U U T U T
0–4
Full-time
Leverkusen
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bielefeld Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,5
3,8
Scored
0,5
2,7
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,5
This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,5
3,8
Scored
0,5
2,7
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

34% Possession 66%
10 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 7
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bielefeld 16. · Leverkusen 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 7 5 1 1 +17 16
2 Dortmund 7 5 0 2 +6 15
3 Freiburg 7 4 3 0 +6 15
4 Leverkusen 6 4 1 1 +9 13
5 Wolfsburg 7 4 1 2 +1 13
6 FC Koln 7 3 3 1 +4 12
7 Union Berlin 7 3 3 1 +1 12
8 RB Leipzig 7 3 1 3 +8 10
9 Mainz 7 3 1 3 +2 10
10 M'gladbach 7 3 1 3 -1 10
11 Hoffenheim 7 2 2 3 +1 8
12 Stuttgart 7 2 2 3 -1 8
13 Ein Frankfurt 7 1 5 1 -2 8
14 Hertha 7 2 0 5 -12 6
15 Augsburg 7 1 2 4 -10 5
16 Bielefeld 6 0 4 2 -3 4
17 Bochum 7 1 1 5 -12 4
18 Greuther Furth 7 0 1 6 -14 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bielefeld Leverkusen
7′
🟨 Piero Hincapie
Cedric Brunner 🟨
9′
18′
M. Diaby 0–1
Patrick Wimmer ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
21′
24′
P. Schick 0–2
F. Wirtz
Half-time 0–2
Patrick Wimmer 🟨
55′
57′
P. Schick 0–3
J. Frimpong
F. Kunze 🔁
↦ A. Schöpf
62′
F. Krüger 🔁
↦ P. Wimmer
62′
64′
🔁 D. Sinkgraven
↦ P. Hincapié
64′
🔁 Paulinho
↦ M. Diaby
Lennart Czyborra 🟨
66′
75′
🔁 K. Bellarabi
↦ F. Wirtz
75′
🔁 L. Alario
↦ P. Schick
75′
🔁 N. Amiri
↦ C. Aránguiz
N. De Medina 🔁
↦ L. Czyborra
77′
E. Fernandes 🔁
↦ R. Hack
77′
B. Lasme 🔁
↦ F. Klos
77′
90′
ℹ️ Karim Bellarabi
VAR: Penalty awarded
Stefan Ortega 🟨
92′
92′
K. Demirbay 0–4
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Bielefeld

4-4-2
1 S. Ortega Moreno G
4 J. Nilsson D
27 C. Brunner D
2 A. Pieper D
6 L. Czyborra D
19 M. Prietl M
8 A. Schöpf M
11 M. Okugawa M
21 R. Hack F
20 P. Wimmer M
9 F. Klos F
Bench (9)
16 F. Kunze
18 F. Krüger
15 N. De Medina
22 E. Fernandes
10 B. Lasme
3 Guilherme Ramos
13 S. Kapino
37 V. Cherny
5 J. Laursen

Coach: F. Kramer

Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
1 L. Hrádecký G
4 J. Tah D
30 J. Frimpong D
6 O. Kossounou D
33 P. Hincapié D
20 C. Aránguiz M
10 K. Demirbay M
31 A. Adli M
14 P. Schick F
19 M. Diaby M
27 F. Wirtz M
Bench (7)
22 D. Sinkgraven
7 Paulinho
38 K. Bellarabi
13 L. Alario
11 N. Amiri
3 P. Retsos
40 A. Lunev

Coach: G. Seoane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,05
U
3,95
B ✓
1,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,76
U2,5
2,09
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.