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Ekstraklasa

Pogon Szczecin

S U U U S

4–1

Full-time

Leczna

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Leczna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,5

This season — Ekstraklasa · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 28%

44%

11%

Points per game

1,8

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

11%

67%

Both score Ø 56%

56%

Average goals

2,1

3,2

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

0,8

2,4

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 5. · Leczna 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	10	6	3	1	+16	21
2	Rakow	9	5	3	1	+6	18
3	Slask Wroclaw	10	4	5	1	+2	17
4	Lechia Gdansk	9	4	4	1	+7	16
5	Pogon Szczecin	9	4	4	1	+5	16
6	Jagiellonia	10	4	3	3	+0	15
7	Zaglebie	9	5	0	4	-2	15
8	Gornik Zabrze	9	4	1	4	-1	13
9	Piast Gliwice	10	4	1	5	-1	13
10	Cracovia	10	3	4	3	-2	13
11	Radomiak Radom	10	2	6	2	+1	12
12	Stal Mielec	10	3	3	4	-5	12
13	Wisla	10	3	2	5	-3	11
14	Wisla Plock	10	3	1	6	+0	10
15	Legia	7	3	0	4	+0	9
16	Nieciecza	9	1	4	4	-3	7
17	Warta Poznan	10	1	4	5	-5	7
18	Leczna	9	1	2	6	-15	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	6	4	2	0	+13	14
2	Jagiellonia	6	3	2	1	+3	11
3	Wisla Plock	4	3	1	0	+8	10
4	Pogon Szczecin	4	3	1	0	+6	10
5	Lechia Gdansk	4	3	1	0	+5	10
6	Slask Wroclaw	5	2	3	0	+3	9
7	Radomiak Radom	5	2	3	0	+3	9
8	Zaglebie	5	3	0	2	+2	9
9	Gornik Zabrze	5	3	0	2	+1	9
10	Stal Mielec	5	3	0	2	-1	9
11	Wisla	5	2	1	2	+2	7
12	Piast Gliwice	6	2	1	3	-2	7
13	Legia	3	2	0	1	+2	6
14	Rakow	3	1	2	0	+3	5
15	Cracovia	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Nieciecza	5	1	2	2	-1	5
17	Leczna	5	1	1	3	-9	4
18	Warta Poznan	5	0	3	2	-4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	6	4	1	1	+3	13
2	Slask Wroclaw	5	2	2	1	-1	8
3	Cracovia	6	2	2	2	-2	8
4	Lech Poznan	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Lechia Gdansk	5	1	3	1	+2	6
6	Piast Gliwice	4	2	0	2	+1	6
7	Pogon Szczecin	5	1	3	1	-1	6
8	Zaglebie	4	2	0	2	-4	6
9	Warta Poznan	5	1	1	3	-1	4
10	Gornik Zabrze	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Jagiellonia	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Wisla	5	1	1	3	-5	4
13	Radomiak Radom	5	0	3	2	-2	3
14	Legia	4	1	0	3	-2	3
15	Stal Mielec	5	0	3	2	-4	3
16	Nieciecza	4	0	2	2	-2	2
17	Leczna	4	0	1	3	-6	1
18	Wisla Plock	6	0	0	6	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.