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LaLiga2
Burgos
T S U U T
1–0
Full-time
Mirandes
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Mirandes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,7
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
14%
43%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
29%
71%
Both score Ø 43%
14%
71%
Average goals
1,6
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,6
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

7 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 3
2 Corners 5
12 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 21. · Mirandes 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Gijon 8 5 2 1 +4 17
2 Ponferradina 8 5 1 2 +5 16
3 Almeria 7 5 0 2 +9 15
4 Tenerife 8 4 2 2 +3 14
5 Eibar 8 4 2 2 +2 14
6 Oviedo 8 2 5 1 +2 11
7 Ibiza 8 2 5 1 +1 11
8 Valladolid 8 3 2 3 +0 11
9 Malaga 8 3 2 3 -3 11
10 Huesca 8 3 1 4 +2 10
11 Mirandes 7 3 1 3 +1 10
12 Fuenlabrada 8 2 4 2 +1 10
13 Las Palmas 7 2 4 1 +0 10
14 Sociedad B 8 2 3 3 +0 9
15 Cartagena 7 3 0 4 -4 9
16 Leganes 7 2 2 3 -1 8
17 Girona 7 2 2 3 -1 8
18 Zaragoza 8 1 5 2 -2 8
19 Lugo 7 1 4 2 -2 7
20 Amorebieta 8 1 4 3 -4 7
21 Burgos 7 1 3 3 -1 6
22 Alcorcon 8 1 0 7 -12 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,22
U
2,99
B
3,50
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,33
U2,5 ✓
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.