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Pro League

Referee: E Lambrechts

Genk

U T S S S

1–1

Full-time

St. Gilloise

S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk St. Gilloise

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches

Win Ø 71%

67%

75%

Points per game

2,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

67%

75%

Both score Ø 46%

67%

25%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

2,2

2,5

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,8

This season — Pro League · 5/4 matches

Win Ø 68%

60%

75%

Points per game

2,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

60%

75%

Both score Ø 43%

60%

25%

Average goals

3,4

3,3

Scored

2,2

2,5

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%

17 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 6

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Genk 8. · St. Gilloise 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Standard	8	5	1	2	-2	16
2	Anderlecht	6	4	1	1	+11	13
3	Kortrijk	7	4	1	2	+4	13
4	Oostende	8	4	0	4	-5	12
5	Club Brugge	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Eupen	8	3	2	3	+3	11
7	Charleroi	6	2	4	0	+6	10
8	Genk	5	3	1	1	+5	10
9	St. Gilloise	4	3	0	1	+7	9
10	Seraing	7	3	0	4	-4	9
11	Seraing United	7	3	0	4	-4	9
12	Antwerp	6	2	2	2	+2	8
13	Cercle Brugge	8	2	2	4	-1	8
14	Waregem	7	2	2	3	-3	8
15	St Truiden	6	2	1	3	-3	7
16	Mechelen	7	2	1	4	-6	7
17	Gent	4	1	1	2	+3	4
18	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	0	4	2	-7	4
19	Beerschot VA	6	0	1	5	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Anderlecht	3	3	0	0	+11	9
2	Club Brugge	4	2	2	0	+4	8
3	Kortrijk	4	2	1	1	+3	7
4	St. Gilloise	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Genk	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Mechelen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Seraing	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Seraing United	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Charleroi	3	1	2	0	+3	5
10	Gent	2	1	1	0	+5	4
11	Eupen	5	1	1	3	-2	4
12	Standard	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	St Truiden	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Oostende	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	0	2	1	-3	2
16	Antwerp	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Cercle Brugge	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Waregem	4	0	1	3	-7	1
19	Beerschot VA	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Standard	5	4	0	1	+0	12
2	Oostende	5	3	0	2	-1	9
3	Eupen	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Waregem	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Antwerp	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Cercle Brugge	5	2	1	2	+1	7
7	Kortrijk	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Charleroi	3	1	2	0	+3	5
9	Genk	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Anderlecht	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	St Truiden	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	St. Gilloise	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Club Brugge	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Seraing	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Seraing United	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	0	2	1	-4	2
17	Beerschot VA	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Mechelen	4	0	1	3	-7	1
19	Gent	2	0	0	2	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.