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Ligue 1
Referee: C Turpin
Monaco
S T U S S
3–0
Full-time
Bordeaux
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Bordeaux
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 26%
38%
13%
Points per game
1,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
63%
Both score Ø 69%
63%
75%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,4
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
12 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Corners 2
5 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Monaco 9. · Bordeaux 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 9 8 0 1 +13 24
2 Lens 9 5 3 1 +6 18
3 Nice 8 5 2 1 +13 17
4 Marseille 7 4 2 1 +6 14
5 Angers 8 3 4 1 +4 13
6 Lorient 8 3 4 1 +1 13
7 Rennes 9 3 3 3 +3 12
8 Lyon 8 3 3 2 +1 12
9 Monaco 8 3 2 3 +0 11
10 Strasbourg 9 3 2 4 -1 11
11 Lille 8 3 2 3 -3 11
12 Nantes 8 3 1 4 +1 10
13 Montpellier 9 2 4 3 +0 10
14 Reims 9 2 4 3 -1 10
15 Clermont 8 2 3 3 -8 9
16 Bordeaux 8 1 4 3 -6 7
17 Troyes 8 1 3 4 -4 6
18 Metz 8 1 3 4 -7 6
19 Brest 9 0 4 5 -8 4
20 St Etienne 8 0 3 5 -10 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Monaco Bordeaux
Axel Disasi 🟨
13′
1–0 A. Tchouaméni
A. Golovin
35′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 A. Golovin
W. Ben Yedder
48′
55′
🔁 J. Dilrosun
↦ Otávio
55′
🔁 A. Elis
↦ S. Kalu
S. Diop 🔁
↦ A. Golovin
57′
3–0 W. Ben Yedder
64′
68′
🔁 S. Mara
↦ T. Pembélé
69′
🔁 G. Mensah
↦ Ricardo Mangas
69′
🔁 M. Zerkane
↦ Fransérgio
K. Diatta 🔁
↦ Gelson Martins
73′
M. Boadu 🔁
↦ W. Ben Yedder
74′
B. Badiashile 🔁
↦ A. Disasi
74′
Y. Fofana 🔁
↦ A. Tchouaméni
83′
Benoît Badiashile 🟨
86′
86′
🟨 Stian Gregersen
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Monaco

4-2-3-1
16 A. Nübel G
26 R. Aguilar D
3 G. Maripán D
6 A. Disasi D
7 Gelson Martins M
17 A. Golovin M
8 A. Tchouaméni M
36 E. Matazo M
31 K. Volland M
10 W. Ben Yedder F
14 I. Jakobs D
Bench (9)
37 S. Diop
27 K. Diatta
9 M. Boadu
5 B. Badiashile
22 Y. Fofana
12 Caio Henrique
21 S. Pavlović
11 Jean Lucas
1 R. Majecki

Coach: N. Kovač

Bordeaux

3-4-2-1
1 B. Costil G
4 Mexer D
2 S. Gregersen D
25 E. Kwateng D
12 Ricardo Mangas M
22 T. Pembélé M
13 Fransérgio M
5 Otávio M
19 Y. Adli F
18 Hwang Ui-Jo F
10 S. Kalu F
Bench (9)
21 J. Dilrosun
29 A. Elis
11 S. Mara
14 G. Mensah
17 M. Zerkane
28 R. Oudin
7 J. Briand
3 A. Medioub
16 G. Poussin

Coach: V. Petković

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,39
U
4,96
B
8,02
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,65
U2,5
2,27
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.