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Eredivisie

Referee: S van der Eijk

PSV Eindhoven

S S T S T

2–1

Full-time

Sparta Rotterdam

T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Sparta Rotterdam

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,2

2,7

Scored

2,5

1,0

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 43%

71%

14%

Points per game

2,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

86%

43%

Both score Ø 57%

57%

Average goals

3,9

2,9

Scored

2,4

0,9

Conceded

1,4

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

76% Possession 24%

26 Shots 5

12 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 9

10 Corners 0

3 Offside 0

4 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 5. · Sparta Rotterdam 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	8	6	1	1	+28	19
2	Utrecht	8	5	2	1	+13	17
3	Willem II	8	5	1	2	+2	16
4	Feyenoord	7	5	0	2	+11	15
5	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	0	2	+7	15
6	Twente	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Heerenveen	7	4	1	2	+1	13
8	Vitesse	8	4	1	3	-7	13
9	Cambuur	8	4	0	4	-5	12
10	Nijmegen	8	3	2	3	-5	11
11	Heracles	7	3	1	3	-1	10
12	Go Ahead Eagles	8	2	1	5	-9	7
13	AZ Alkmaar	6	2	0	4	+0	6
14	Waalwijk	8	1	3	4	-3	6
15	Groningen	8	1	3	4	-7	6
16	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	3	3	-8	6
17	For Sittard	7	1	2	4	-9	5
18	Zwolle	8	0	1	7	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	5	4	0	1	+21	12
2	Utrecht	4	3	1	0	+10	10
3	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Cambuur	5	3	0	2	+3	9
5	Heracles	5	3	0	2	+0	9
6	Willem II	4	3	0	1	-1	9
7	Twente	3	2	1	0	+3	7
8	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	Heerenveen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Go Ahead Eagles	4	2	0	2	+1	6
11	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	2	1	-2	5
12	Waalwijk	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	Vitesse	4	1	1	2	-5	4
15	For Sittard	4	1	1	2	-6	4
16	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
17	Groningen	4	0	3	1	-1	3
18	Zwolle	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	0	1	+5	9
2	Vitesse	4	3	0	1	-2	9
3	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+7	7
4	Willem II	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Utrecht	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Twente	5	2	1	2	+1	7
7	Heerenveen	4	2	1	1	+0	7
8	Nijmegen	5	2	1	2	-4	7
9	Feyenoord	4	2	0	2	+5	6
10	AZ Alkmaar	4	1	0	3	-2	3
11	Groningen	4	1	0	3	-6	3
12	Cambuur	3	1	0	2	-8	3
13	Waalwijk	4	0	2	2	-2	2
14	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Sparta Rotterdam	3	0	1	2	-6	1
17	Go Ahead Eagles	4	0	1	3	-10	1
18	Zwolle	4	0	0	4	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.