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Allsvenskan

Kalmar

T S S U S

3–1

Full-time

Sirius

S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kalmar Sirius

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

This season — Allsvenskan · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 38%

43%

33%

Points per game

1,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

33%

48%

Both score Ø 53%

48%

57%

Average goals

2,1

2,7

Scored

1,1

Conceded

1,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Kalmar 7. · Sirius 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	21	13	5	3	+20	44
2	Malmo FF	21	12	5	4	+21	41
3	AIK	21	12	5	4	+13	41
4	Elfsborg	22	12	3	7	+10	39
5	Norrkoping	21	11	3	7	+12	36
6	Hammarby	21	9	7	5	+8	34
7	Kalmar	21	9	7	5	+3	34
8	Varberg	22	7	7	8	-2	28
9	Sirius	21	7	6	8	-10	27
10	Hacken	21	6	7	8	+0	25
11	Halmstad	22	4	11	7	-4	23
12	Goteborg	22	5	7	10	-8	22
13	Degerfors	22	6	4	12	-16	22
14	Mjallby	21	4	9	8	-2	21
15	Orebro	21	4	4	13	-27	16
16	Ostersunds	22	3	4	15	-18	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AIK	11	9	2	0	+14	29
2	Djurgarden	11	8	2	1	+14	26
3	Malmo FF	11	7	3	1	+15	24
4	Hammarby	11	7	3	1	+11	24
5	Elfsborg	12	7	2	3	+8	23
6	Norrkoping	10	6	2	2	+9	20
7	Degerfors	10	5	1	4	+2	16
8	Kalmar	11	4	4	3	+1	16
9	Sirius	10	5	1	4	+0	16
10	Varberg	11	4	4	3	-1	16
11	Hacken	10	4	3	3	+6	15
12	Halmstad	11	2	8	1	+1	14
13	Mjallby	10	3	4	3	+2	13
14	Goteborg	11	3	3	5	-1	12
15	Ostersunds	11	3	1	7	+1	10
16	Orebro	10	2	4	4	-6	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	10	5	3	2	+6	18
2	Kalmar	10	5	3	2	+2	18
3	Malmo FF	10	5	2	3	+6	17
4	Norrkoping	11	5	1	5	+3	16
5	Elfsborg	10	5	1	4	+2	16
6	Varberg	11	3	3	5	-1	12
7	AIK	10	3	3	4	-1	12
8	Sirius	11	2	5	4	-10	11
9	Hammarby	10	2	4	4	-3	10
10	Hacken	11	2	4	5	-6	10
11	Goteborg	11	2	4	5	-7	10
12	Halmstad	11	2	3	6	-5	9
13	Mjallby	11	1	5	5	-4	8
14	Degerfors	12	1	3	8	-18	6
15	Orebro	11	2	0	9	-21	6
16	Ostersunds	11	0	3	8	-19	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.