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Ligue 1

Referee: J Brisard

Nantes

T T S S T

2–0

Full-time

Troyes

T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Troyes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 26%

38%

13%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

38%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

2,6

2,5

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

8 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 7

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nantes 12. · Troyes 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	8	0	1	+13	24
2	Lens	9	5	3	1	+6	18
3	Nice	8	5	2	1	+13	17
4	Marseille	7	4	2	1	+6	14
5	Angers	8	3	4	1	+4	13
6	Lorient	8	3	4	1	+1	13
7	Rennes	9	3	3	3	+3	12
8	Lyon	8	3	3	2	+1	12
9	Monaco	8	3	2	3	+0	11
10	Strasbourg	9	3	2	4	-1	11
11	Lille	8	3	2	3	-3	11
12	Nantes	8	3	1	4	+1	10
13	Montpellier	9	2	4	3	+0	10
14	Reims	9	2	4	3	-1	10
15	Clermont	8	2	3	3	-8	9
16	Bordeaux	8	1	4	3	-6	7
17	Troyes	8	1	3	4	-4	6
18	Metz	8	1	3	4	-7	6
19	Brest	9	0	4	5	-8	4
20	St Etienne	8	0	3	5	-10	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Rennes	5	3	1	1	+7	10
3	Lyon	5	2	3	0	+4	9
4	Lorient	3	3	0	0	+3	9
5	Nice	4	2	2	0	+5	8
6	Montpellier	5	2	2	1	+3	8
7	Lens	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Marseille	4	2	1	1	+3	7
9	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	+2	7
10	Angers	4	2	1	1	+2	7
11	Nantes	4	2	0	2	+1	6
12	Lille	3	2	0	1	-2	6
13	Reims	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Clermont	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Monaco	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Troyes	4	0	2	2	-2	2
17	Brest	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Metz	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Bordeaux	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	St Etienne	4	0	2	2	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	4	0	1	+4	12
2	Lens	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Nice	4	3	0	1	+8	9
4	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Monaco	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Angers	4	1	3	0	+2	6
7	Lille	5	1	2	2	-1	5
8	Reims	5	1	2	2	-1	5
9	Bordeaux	4	1	2	1	-3	5
10	Nantes	4	1	1	2	+0	4
11	Lorient	5	0	4	1	-2	4
12	Troyes	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Strasbourg	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Metz	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Clermont	4	1	1	2	-8	4
16	Lyon	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Montpellier	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Rennes	4	0	2	2	-4	2
19	Brest	5	0	2	3	-5	2
20	St Etienne	4	0	1	3	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.