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Super League
Referee: A Dudic
Basel
U U U S S
1–1
Full-time
Luzern
T U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,0
This season — Super League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 32%
63%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
63%
Both score Ø 88%
75%
100%
Average goals
3,6
3,9
Scored
2,8
1,5
Conceded
0,9
2,4
Goal diff per game
+1,9
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
14 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 8
5 Blocked shots 1
7 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Basel 1. · Luzern 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Basel 8 5 3 0 +15 18
2 Zurich 9 5 2 2 +5 17
3 Young Boys 7 4 2 1 +10 14
4 Lugano 8 4 2 2 +3 14
5 Grasshoppers 9 3 4 2 +4 13
6 Servette 8 3 3 2 +2 12
7 Sion 9 2 3 4 -10 9
8 St. Gallen 9 1 3 5 -10 6
9 Luzern 8 0 4 4 -7 4
10 Lausanne 9 0 4 5 -12 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Apr -21 Luzern – Basel 3–4 13. Mar -21 Basel – Luzern 4–1 23. Dec -20 Luzern – Basel 1–2 4. Oct -20 Basel – Luzern 3–2 3. Aug -20 Basel – Luzern 0–0

Match report

Basel Luzern
34′
🟨 Dejan Sorgic
Half-time 0–0
M. Lang 🔁
↦ Sergio López
46′
57′
🔁 V. Tasar
↦ N. Čumić
Fabian Frei 🟨
64′
66′
🟨 Marvin Schulz
1–0 V. Stocker ⚽
S.Esposito
68′
69′
🟨 Vaso Vasic
Joelson Fernandes 🔁
↦ E. Zhegrova
69′
P. Kasami 🔁
↦ W. Burger
70′
78′
⚽ J. Wehrmann 1–1
D. Males 🔁
↦ S.Esposito
79′
L. Millar 🔁
↦ V. Stocker
83′
Eray Cömert 🟨
90′
91′
🔁 Y. Alounga
↦ S. Campo
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Basel

4-2-3-1
1 H. Lindner G
4 E. Cömert D
22 Sergio López D
21 A. Pelmard D
30 Tomás Tavares D
14 V. Stocker M
20 F. Frei M
99 E. Zhegrova M
23 W. Burger M
10 Arthur Cabral F
9 S.Esposito M
Bench (9)
5 M. Lang
96 Joelson Fernandes
7 P. Kasami
19 D. Males
17 L. Millar
8 Jordi Quintillà
27 D. Ndoye
6 N. Djiga
46 F. Gebhardt

Coach: P. Rahmen

Luzern

4-3-2-1
90 V. Vasić G
28 H. Badstuber D
34 S. Sidler D
46 M. Burch D
4 C. Gentner M
15 M. Schulz D
10 S. Campo M
6 J. Wehrmann M
19 F. Ugrinic M
9 D. Sorgić F
20 N. Čumić M
Bench (8)
16 V. Tasar
22 Y. Alounga
41 N. Rupp
66 D. Domgjoni
74 S. Ottiger
31 L. Emini
17 S. Grether
38 P. Loretz

Coach: F. Celestini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U ✓
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Dudic · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.