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Eredivisie

Referee: J Kamphuis

Cambuur

S S T S S

1–3

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cambuur AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

5,0

3,8

Scored

2,3

2,2

Conceded

2,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 7/5 matches

Win Ø 39%

57%

20%

Points per game

1,7

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

86%

80%

Both score Ø 49%

57%

40%

Average goals

4,7

3,6

Scored

2,1

1,6

Conceded

2,6

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

52% Possession 48%

13 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 1

3 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cambuur 8. · AZ Alkmaar 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	6	1	0	+29	19
2	Willem II	8	5	1	2	+2	16
3	Feyenoord	6	5	0	1	+12	15
4	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	0	2	+7	15
5	Utrecht	7	4	2	1	+12	14
6	Twente	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Heerenveen	7	4	1	2	+1	13
8	Cambuur	7	4	0	3	-3	12
9	Nijmegen	8	3	2	3	-5	11
10	Heracles	7	3	1	3	-1	10
11	Vitesse	7	3	1	3	-8	10
12	Go Ahead Eagles	8	2	1	5	-9	7
13	Waalwijk	8	1	3	4	-3	6
14	Groningen	8	1	3	4	-7	6
15	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	3	3	-8	6
16	For Sittard	7	1	2	4	-9	5
17	AZ Alkmaar	5	1	0	4	-2	3
18	Zwolle	8	0	1	7	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	4	4	0	0	+22	12
2	Utrecht	4	3	1	0	+10	10
3	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Cambuur	4	3	0	1	+5	9
5	Heracles	5	3	0	2	+0	9
6	Willem II	4	3	0	1	-1	9
7	Twente	3	2	1	0	+3	7
8	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	Heerenveen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Go Ahead Eagles	4	2	0	2	+1	6
11	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	2	1	-2	5
12	Waalwijk	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	For Sittard	4	1	1	2	-6	4
15	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
16	Groningen	4	0	3	1	-1	3
17	Zwolle	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Vitesse	3	0	1	2	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	0	1	+5	9
2	Vitesse	4	3	0	1	-2	9
3	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+7	7
4	Willem II	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Twente	5	2	1	2	+1	7
6	Heerenveen	4	2	1	1	+0	7
7	Nijmegen	5	2	1	2	-4	7
8	Feyenoord	3	2	0	1	+6	6
9	Utrecht	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Groningen	4	1	0	3	-6	3
11	Cambuur	3	1	0	2	-8	3
12	Waalwijk	4	0	2	2	-2	2
13	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-3	1
15	Sparta Rotterdam	3	0	1	2	-6	1
16	Go Ahead Eagles	4	0	1	3	-10	1
17	AZ Alkmaar	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Zwolle	4	0	0	4	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.