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Pro League
Referee: J Vergoote
Eupen
U S S S T
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Seraing United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 45%
50%
40%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
83%
60%
Both score Ø 70%
100%
40%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
15 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 5
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eupen 3. · Seraing United 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kortrijk 7 4 1 2 +4 13
2 Oostende 6 4 0 2 +0 12
3 Eupen 6 3 2 1 +5 11
4 Anderlecht 4 3 1 0 +7 10
5 Charleroi 6 2 4 0 +6 10
6 Standard 5 3 1 1 +0 10
7 Seraing 6 3 0 3 -3 9
8 Club Brugge 4 2 2 0 +5 8
9 Genk 4 2 1 1 +4 7
10 Mechelen 6 2 1 3 -1 7
11 St. Gilloise 3 2 0 1 +3 6
12 Seraing United 5 2 0 3 -4 6
13 Cercle Brugge 6 1 2 3 -2 5
14 Waregem 5 1 2 2 -3 5
15 Antwerp 4 1 1 2 +1 4
16 St Truiden 5 1 1 3 -4 4
17 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 5 0 3 2 -7 3
18 Gent 3 0 1 2 -2 1
19 Beerschot VA 6 0 1 5 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eupen Seraing United
26′
🟨 Ablie Jallow
Half-time 0–1
48′
Y. Maziz 0–1
G. Kilota
51′
F. Sambu 0–2
J. Déom 🔁
↦ K. N’Dri
58′
I. Nuhu 🔁
↦ A. Beck
58′
Emmanuel Agbadou 🟨
67′
Boris Lambert 🟨
73′
S. Gnaka 🔁
↦ B. Lambert
81′
Edo Kayembe 🟨
82′
87′
🔁 A. Bernier
↦ Y. Maziz
87′
🔁 R. Djedje
↦ G. Kilota
T. Magee 🔁
↦ S. Peeters
92′
92′
🔁 T. Pierrot
↦ I. Cissé
93′
🔁 M. Cachbach
↦ M. Poaty
0–3 G. Dietsch
own goal
94′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Eupen

3-5-2
33 A. Nurudeen G
32 A. Beck M
28 J. Heris D
5 Jordi Amat D
35 B. Lambert M
22 E. Agbadou D
8 S. Peeters M
39 E. Kayembe M
9 S. Prevljak F
7 J. Ngoy F
11 K. N’Dri M
Bench (7)
14 J. Déom
29 I. Nuhu
24 S. Gnaka
20 T. Magee
70 P. Akono
30 R. Himmelmann
13 S. Keita

Coach: S. Krämer

Seraing United

3-4-3
30 G. Dietsch G
24 B. Boulenger D
8 G. Kilota F
21 F. Sambu M
20 Y. Nadrani D
18 M. Poaty M
4 W. Faye D
44 I. Cissé M
36 A. Jallow F
88 Y. Maziz M
10 M. Mouandilmadji F
Bench (7)
12 A. Bernier
5 R. Djedje
6 T. Pierrot
17 M. Cachbach
11 A. Sanogo
22 M. Mignon
37 F. D'Onofrio

Coach: Jordi Condom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Vergoote · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.