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Serie B

Brescia

S S U U S

2–4

Full-time

Como

U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Como

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,2

2,2

Scored

2,8

0,7

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,8

This season — Serie B · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,2

2,2

Scored

2,8

0,7

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

23 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 5

11 Corners 6

17 Free kicks against 7

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brescia 3. · Como 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	7	6	1	0	+11	19
2	Cremonese	7	5	0	2	+5	15
3	Brescia	6	4	2	0	+9	14
4	Lecce	7	4	2	1	+5	14
5	Ascoli	7	4	1	2	+2	13
6	Cittadella	7	4	0	3	-1	12
7	Benevento	6	3	2	1	+5	11
8	Frosinone	7	2	4	1	+3	10
9	Reggina	7	2	4	1	+0	10
10	Cosenza	7	3	1	3	-2	10
11	Perugia	6	2	3	1	+3	9
12	Parma	7	2	3	2	+2	9
13	Monza	7	2	3	2	-1	9
14	Spal	7	2	2	3	+3	8
15	Ternana	7	2	1	4	-5	7
16	Crotone	7	0	4	3	-6	4
17	Alessandria	7	1	1	5	-7	4
18	Como	6	0	3	3	-5	3
19	Pordenone	6	0	1	5	-13	1
20	Vicenza	6	0	0	6	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Cremonese	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Cosenza	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Cittadella	4	3	0	1	+3	9
5	Spal	4	2	2	0	+6	8
6	Reggina	4	2	2	0	+2	8
7	Benevento	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Lecce	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Monza	3	2	1	0	+3	7
10	Ternana	4	2	0	2	-2	6
11	Brescia	2	1	1	0	+4	4
12	Parma	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Frosinone	4	0	3	1	-1	3
14	Ascoli	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Crotone	4	0	3	1	-3	3
16	Alessandria	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Perugia	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Como	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Pordenone	3	0	1	2	-5	1
20	Vicenza	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Ascoli	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Pisa	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Perugia	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Frosinone	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Lecce	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Cremonese	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Parma	4	1	2	1	+2	5
9	Benevento	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Cittadella	3	1	0	2	-4	3
11	Como	3	0	2	1	-2	2
12	Reggina	3	0	2	1	-2	2
13	Monza	4	0	2	2	-4	2
14	Crotone	3	0	1	2	-3	1
15	Ternana	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Alessandria	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	Cosenza	4	0	1	3	-6	1
18	Vicenza	3	0	0	3	-3	0
19	Spal	3	0	0	3	-3	0
20	Pordenone	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.