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Pro League
Referee: B Van Driessche
Antwerp
U U S S S
4–2
Full-time
Genk
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
2,2
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
This season — Pro League · 8/7 matches
Win Ø 54%
50%
57%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
63%
57%
Both score Ø 73%
75%
71%
Average goals
3,3
3,1
Scored
1,9
2,0
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

35% Possession 65%
10 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 8
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 12
5 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Antwerp 7. · Genk 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Anderlecht 7 5 1 1 +12 16
2 Kortrijk 9 5 1 3 +4 16
3 Standard 9 5 1 3 -3 16
4 Oostende 9 5 0 4 -3 15
5 Genk 7 4 2 1 +6 14
6 Eupen 9 4 2 3 +4 14
7 Antwerp 8 4 2 2 +4 14
8 Club Brugge 7 4 2 1 +4 14
9 St. Gilloise 6 4 1 1 +8 13
10 Charleroi 7 2 4 1 +5 10
11 St Truiden 8 3 1 4 -3 10
12 Mechelen 8 3 1 4 -4 10
13 Seraing 8 3 0 5 -5 9
14 Seraing United 8 3 0 5 -5 9
15 Cercle Brugge 9 2 2 5 -2 8
16 Waregem 8 2 2 4 -4 8
17 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 8 1 4 3 -8 7
18 Gent 5 1 1 3 +2 4
19 Beerschot VA 8 0 1 7 -12 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antwerp Genk
13′
P. Onuachu 0–1
J. Ito
1–1 R. De Laet
27′
2–1 B. Verstraete
37′
3–1 K. Miyoshi
41′
Michael Frey 🟨
44′
Ritchie De Laet 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Daniel Muñoz
Half-time 3–1
56′
🟨 Paul Onuachu
56′
🔁 J. Paintsil
↦ M. Trésor
M. Samatta 🔁
↦ V. Fischer
68′
4–1 M. Frey
M. Samatta
69′
71′
🟨 Kristian Thorstvedt
72′
🔁 I. Ugbo
↦ C. Eiting
B. Manuel 🔁
↦ K. Miyoshi
77′
Dinis Almeida 🟨
79′
80′
P. Onuachu 4–2
Ritchie De Laet 🟨
84′
Ritchie De Laet 🟥
84′
A. Seck 🔁
↦ D. Dessoleil
86′
F. Haroun 🔁
↦ M. Frey
86′
Aurélio Buta 🔁
↦ R. Nainggolan
86′
Faris Haroun 🟨
89′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Antwerp

4-4-2
1 J. Butez G
2 R. De Laet D
24 D. Dessoleil D
61 Dinis Almeida D
34 J. Bataille D
4 R. Nainggolan M
16 P. Gerkens F
6 B. Verstraete M
99 M. Frey F
7 V. Fischer M
19 K. Miyoshi M
Bench (7)
70 M. Samatta
14 B. Manuel
30 A. Seck
38 F. Haroun
5 Aurélio Buta
9 J. Eggestein
26 O. De Wolf

Coach: B. Priske

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 M. Vandevoordt G
33 J. Lucumí D
46 C. Cuesta D
5 G. Arteaga D
23 D. Muñoz D
20 C. Eiting M
8 B. Heynen M
11 M. Trésor M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
18 P. Onuachu F
7 J. Ito M
Bench (7)
28 J. Paintsil
21 I. Ugbo
2 M. McKenzie
40 T. Leysen
14 B. Toma
24 L. Oyen
15 J. Geusens

Coach: J. van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,05
U
3,80
B
2,11
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,55
U2,5
2,41
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Van Driessche · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.