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Süper Lig

Referee: A Karaoğlan

Fenerbahce

S U T S S

2–1

Full-time

Kasimpasa

U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Kasimpasa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

This season — Süper Lig · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 43%

71%

14%

Points per game

2,3

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

29%

Both score Ø 43%

43%

Average goals

2,1

2,4

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

45% Possession 55%

10 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 3

3 Offside 6

20 Free kicks against 12

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fenerbahce 4. · Kasimpasa 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	8	5	3	0	+8	18
2	Besiktas	8	5	2	1	+8	17
3	Hatayspor	8	5	1	2	+10	16
4	Fenerbahce	7	5	1	1	+5	16
5	Altay	7	5	0	2	+5	15
6	Konyaspor	8	3	5	0	+4	14
7	Karagumruk	8	4	2	2	+3	14
8	Alanyaspor	8	4	2	2	-3	14
9	Ad. Demirspor	8	3	3	2	+2	12
10	Kayserispor	8	3	2	3	+1	11
11	Galatasaray	7	3	2	2	+0	11
12	Sivasspor	8	2	3	3	+2	9
13	Antalyaspor	8	2	2	4	-4	8
14	Gaziantep	7	2	2	3	-4	8
15	Buyuksehyr	8	2	0	6	-2	6
16	Kasimpasa	7	1	3	3	-3	6
17	Yeni Malatyaspor	8	2	0	6	-9	6
18	Goztep	8	1	2	5	-5	5
19	Giresunspor	8	1	2	5	-6	5
20	Rizespor	7	0	1	6	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Karagumruk	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	Altay	4	3	0	1	+3	9
4	Konyaspor	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Hatayspor	4	2	1	1	+5	7
6	Ad. Demirspor	4	2	1	1	+5	7
7	Kayserispor	4	2	1	1	+4	7
8	Fenerbahce	3	2	1	0	+3	7
9	Gaziantep	3	2	1	0	+3	7
10	Antalyaspor	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Buyuksehyr	4	2	0	2	+3	6
12	Galatasaray	3	2	0	1	+1	6
13	Alanyaspor	3	2	0	1	+0	6
14	Sivasspor	4	1	2	1	+3	5
15	Kasimpasa	4	1	2	1	+1	5
16	Trabzonspor	3	1	2	0	+1	5
17	Goztep	4	1	0	3	-3	3
18	Yeni Malatyaspor	5	1	0	4	-6	3
19	Giresunspor	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	Rizespor	3	0	1	2	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Hatayspor	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	Fenerbahce	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	Alanyaspor	5	2	2	1	-3	8
5	Altay	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Konyaspor	4	1	3	0	+1	6
7	Galatasaray	4	1	2	1	-1	5
8	Ad. Demirspor	4	1	2	1	-3	5
9	Besiktas	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Sivasspor	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Kayserispor	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Karagumruk	4	1	1	2	-4	4
13	Giresunspor	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Yeni Malatyaspor	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Goztep	4	0	2	2	-2	2
16	Kasimpasa	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Antalyaspor	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Gaziantep	4	0	1	3	-7	1
19	Buyuksehyr	4	0	0	4	-5	0
20	Rizespor	4	0	0	4	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.