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Pro League
Referee: Wesli De Cremer
Mechelen
T U S T T
1–1
Full-time
Kortrijk
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,7
This season — Pro League · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 34%
47%
21%
Points per game
1,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
74%
63%
Both score Ø 61%
63%
58%
Average goals
3,2
3,1
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
9 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 5
3 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 19
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 7. · Kortrijk 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 19 15 3 1 +34 48
2 Antwerp 21 12 4 5 +18 40
3 Charleroi 19 12 4 3 +17 40
4 Standard 19 12 3 4 +21 39
5 Gent 19 10 5 4 +16 35
6 Waregem 19 9 5 5 +8 32
7 Mechelen 19 9 4 6 +3 31
8 Genk 20 8 5 7 +4 29
9 Anderlecht 19 5 8 6 +0 23
10 St Truiden 19 6 5 8 -11 23
11 Mouscron 17 5 7 5 +1 22
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 17 5 7 5 +1 22
13 Eupen 19 4 5 10 -17 17
14 Oostende 19 4 4 11 -15 16
15 Kortrijk 19 4 3 12 -11 15
16 Cercle Brugge 20 3 4 13 -23 13
17 Waasland-Beveren 18 2 5 11 -23 11
18 Beveren 18 2 5 11 -23 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Kortrijk
Half-time 0–0
L. Bijker 🔁
↦ A. Corryn
46′
52′
🟨 Gary Kagelmacher
54′
🟨 Larry Azouni
60′
🔁 I. Ezekiel
↦ F. Hornby
I. de Camargo 🔁
↦ N. Storm
63′
68′
🔁 J. Stojanović
↦ H. Kage
J. Vanlerberghe 🔁
↦ R. Schoofs
72′
75′
🟨 Kristof D'Haene
76′
I. Ezekiel 0–1
J. De Sart
1–1 I. de Camargo
W. Togui
78′
82′
🔁 E. Ocansey
↦ C. Lepoint
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-3-3
15 Y. Thoelen G
5 A. Swinkels D
22 A. Corryn D
23 T. Peyre D
2 J. Van Cleemput D
8 O. Kaya M
13 J. Van Damme M
16 R. Schoofs M
11 N. Storm F
20 G. Engvall F
9 W. Togui F
Bench (7)
3 L. Bijker
10 I. de Camargo
30 J. Vanlerberghe
21 C. Tainmont
7 G. Hairemans
1 B. Castro
31 D. Vanzeir

Coach: W. Vrancken

Kortrijk

4-2-3-1
21 A. Jakubech G
4 G. Kagelmacher D
15 C. Lepoint M
30 K. D'Haene F
2 P. Golubović D
35 Tuta D
10 H. Kage M
23 J. De Sart M
5 L. Azouni M
7 I. Mboyo F
9 F. Hornby F
Bench (7)
39 I. Ezekiel
11 J. Stojanović
51 E. Ocansey
3 B. Hines-Ike
8 A. Ajagun
29 A. Batsula
16 M. De Man

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,95
U ✓
3,77
B
3,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,61
U2,5 ✓
2,27
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Wesli De Cremer · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.