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Pro League
Referee: Jan Boterberg
Antwerp
U U S S T
1–1
Full-time
Genk
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,7
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 27/28 matches
Win Ø 53%
56%
50%
Points per game
1,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
67%
68%
Both score Ø 66%
70%
61%
Average goals
3,1
3,1
Scored
1,9
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%
14 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Antwerp 4. · Genk 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 28 20 7 1 +44 67
2 Charleroi 29 16 9 4 +29 57
3 Gent 28 16 7 5 +28 55
4 Antwerp 27 15 6 6 +20 51
5 Standard 29 14 7 8 +18 49
6 Genk 28 14 5 9 +11 47
7 Waregem 28 12 5 11 +6 41
8 Mechelen 28 12 5 11 -3 41
9 Anderlecht 28 9 12 7 +4 39
10 St Truiden 29 10 6 13 -10 36
11 Kortrijk 29 9 5 15 -9 32
12 Mouscron 25 7 9 9 -2 30
13 Royal Excel Mouscron 25 7 9 9 -2 30
14 Eupen 28 8 6 14 -19 30
15 Oostende 29 6 4 19 -27 22
16 Waasland-Beveren 25 5 5 15 -30 20
17 Beveren 25 5 5 15 -30 20
18 Cercle Brugge 28 5 4 19 -28 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antwerp Genk
11′
P. Onuachu 0–1
T. Bongonda
Simen Juklerød 🟨
30′
0–2 J. Mæhle
own goal
39′
Half-time 0–2
Aurelio Buta 🟨
50′
A. De Sart 🔁
↦ S. Defour
71′
Ivo Rodrigues 🔁
↦ M. Benson
76′
86′
🟨 Dries Wouters
88′
🟨 Jhon Lucumi
Z. Gano 🔁
↦ L. Refaelov
89′
89′
🔁 K. Thorstvedt
↦ T. Bongonda
91′
🔁 S. Odey
↦ P. Onuachu
93′
🔁 B. Limbombe
↦ J. Ito
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Antwerp

4-2-3-1
1 S. Bolat G
2 R. De Laet D
6 S. Juklerød D
30 Buta D
3 A. Seck D
16 S. Defour M
38 F. Haroun M
11 L. Refaelov M
70 D. Mbokani F
28 M. Benson M
7 D. Lamkel Ze F
Bench (7)
25 A. De Sart
8 Ivo Rodrigues
93 Z. Gano
39 J. Teunckens
18 M. Hongla
19 K. Miyoshi
87 K. Mirallas

Coach: L. Bölöni

Genk

4-2-3-1
30 T. Didillon G
6 S. Dewaest D
21 J. Uronen D
33 J. Lucumí D
46 C. Cuesta D
31 J. Mæhle M
17 P. Hrošovský M
4 D. Wouters D
18 P. Onuachu F
27 T. Bongonda M
7 J. Ito
Bench (7)
42 K. Thorstvedt
22 B. Limbombe
15 S. Odey
11 J. Paintsil
40 T. Leysen
2 C. De Norre
16 E. Sierra

Coach: H. Wolf

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,07
U ✓
3,53
B
3,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,72
U2,5 ✓
2,10
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jan Boterberg · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.