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Pro League
Referee: Wesley Alen
Kortrijk
U S S S S
0–1
Full-time
Genk
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 40%
33%
47%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 63%
63%
63%
Average goals
3,0
3,1
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

6 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 7
3 Corners 4
14 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kortrijk 11. · Genk 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 30 22 7 1 +46 73
2 Gent 29 17 7 5 +29 58
3 Charleroi 30 16 10 4 +29 58
4 Antwerp 29 15 8 6 +20 53
5 Standard 30 15 7 8 +20 52
6 Genk 30 14 6 10 +9 48
7 Mechelen 29 13 5 11 -1 44
8 Waregem 30 12 5 13 +4 41
9 Anderlecht 29 9 12 8 +2 39
10 St Truiden 30 10 6 14 -11 36
11 Kortrijk 30 10 5 15 -6 35
12 Mouscron 26 8 9 9 -1 33
13 Royal Excel Mouscron 26 8 9 9 -1 33
14 Eupen 29 8 6 15 -20 30
15 Cercle Brugge 29 6 4 19 -27 22
16 Oostende 30 6 4 20 -30 22
17 Waasland-Beveren 26 5 5 16 -31 20
18 Beveren 26 5 5 16 -31 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk Genk
19′
🟨 Kouassi Eboue
Half-time 0–0
Hannes Van Der Bruggen 🟨
54′
Timothy Derijck 🟨
57′
58′
D. Wouters 0–1
J. Lucumí
59′
🔁 S. Odey
↦ K. Eboue
H. Guèye 🔁
↦ H. Van der Bruggen
65′
F. Selemani 🔁
↦ C. Lepoint
71′
76′
🟨 Joakim Maehle
J. Stojanović 🔁
↦ I. Mboyo
76′
80′
🟨 Dries Wouters
80′
🔁 J. Paintsil
↦ T. Bongonda
86′
🔁 C. De Norre
↦ P. Onuachu
Tuta 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Stephen Odey
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Kortrijk

4-2-3-1
21 A. Jakubech G
76 T. Derijck D
15 C. Lepoint M
30 K. D'Haene D
2 P. Golubović D
35 Tuta D
25 E. Makarenko M
14 H. Van der Bruggen M
23 J. De Sart M
7 I. Mboyo F
20 T. Moffi F
Bench (7)
17 H. Guèye
70 F. Selemani
11 J. Stojanović
5 L. Azouni
10 H. Kage
1 S. Bruzzese
29 A. Batsula

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Genk

4-2-3-1
30 T. Didillon G
33 J. Lucumí D
46 C. Cuesta D
31 J. Mæhle M
17 P. Hrošovský M
4 D. Wouters D
38 K. Eboue M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
18 P. Onuachu F
27 T. Bongonda M
7 J. Ito
Bench (7)
15 S. Odey
11 J. Paintsil
2 C. De Norre
28 G. Coucke
35 S. Adewoye
16 E. Sierra
22 B. Limbombe

Coach: H. Wolf

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,60
U
3,49
B ✓
2,54
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,73
U2,5 ✓
2,09
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Wesley Alen · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.