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Pro League
Referee: Jonathan Lardot
Genk
S S U T U
2–0
Full-time
Oostende
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Oostende
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,8
This season — Pro League · 12/18 matches
Win Ø 46%
58%
33%
Points per game
2,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
67%
56%
Both score Ø 64%
67%
61%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
2,4
1,1
Conceded
1,1
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

70% Possession 30%
19 Shots 3
8 Shots on target 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 9
13 Corners 3
5 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 5. · Oostende 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 19 8 7 4 +8 31
2 Charleroi 19 9 3 7 +6 30
3 Antwerp 13 9 1 3 +9 28
4 Gent 13 8 2 3 +12 26
5 Genk 12 7 4 1 +16 25
6 Cercle Brugge 19 7 4 8 -11 25
7 Club Brugge 13 7 3 3 +15 24
8 Anderlecht 13 7 3 3 +9 24
9 Kortrijk 19 6 6 7 -4 24
10 Oostende 18 6 4 8 -12 22
11 Eupen 19 7 1 11 -15 22
12 Standard 12 5 5 2 +8 20
13 Beveren 19 3 8 8 -5 17
14 Waregem 18 4 5 9 -10 17
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 19 3 5 11 -12 14
16 Lokeren 19 3 5 11 -14 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Oostende
1–0 Ruslan Malinovskyi
Joakim Maehle
33′
35′
🟨 Brecht Capon
Half-time 1–0
54′
🟨 Fernando Canesin
Sander Berge 🔁
↦ Ruslan Malinovskyi
55′
69′
🔁 Richairo Zivkovic
↦ Brecht Capon
70′
🔁 Indy Boonen
↦ Sindrit Guri
2–0 Mbwana Samatta
Alejandro Pozuelo
74′
Ibrahima Seck 🔁
↦ Alejandro Pozuelo
74′
79′
🔁 Francois Marquet
↦ Fernando Canesin
Joseph Paintsil 🔁
↦ Dieumerci Ndongala
84′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Genk

4-3-3
1 Danny Vukovic G
31 Joakim Maehle M
6 Sébastien Dewaest D
45 Joseph Aidoo D
21 Jere Uronen D
28 Bryan Heynen M
24 Alejandro Pozuelo M
18 Ruslan Malinovskyi M
77 Dieumerci Ndongala F
10 Mbwana Samatta F
14 Leandro Trossard F
Bench (9)
30 Nordin Jackers
23 Rubin Seigers
3 Bojan Nastić
11 Joseph Paintsil
15 Ibrahima Seck
25 Sander Berge
19 Jakub Piotrowski
93 Zinho Gano
8 Edon Zhegrova

Coach: P. Clement

Oostende

4-2-3-1
1 Fabrice Ondoa G
5 Goran Milović D
6 Nicolas Lombaerts D
4 Wout Faes D
27 Brecht Capon D
14 Aristote Nkaka D
43 Sander Coopman M
25 Jelle Bataille M
26 Kevin Vandendriessche M
55 Fernando Canesin F
10 Sindrit Guri F
Bench (7)
28 William Dutoit
12 Emmanuel Banda
29 Robbie D'Haese
8 Francois Marquet
11 Indy Boonen
7 Fashion Sakala
9 Richairo Zivkovic

Coach: G. Verheyen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jonathan Lardot · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.