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Pro League
Referee: Eric Lambrechts
Genk
T S U T S
1–2
Full-time
Club Brugge
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,3
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 61%
48%
74%
Points per game
1,6
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
65%
48%
Both score Ø 50%
61%
39%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,4
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

60% Possession 40%
7 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 4
0 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 22
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 7. · Club Brugge 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 31 23 7 1 +47 76
2 Gent 30 18 7 5 +32 61
3 Charleroi 31 16 10 5 +28 58
4 Antwerp 31 16 8 7 +21 56
5 Standard 31 16 7 8 +21 55
6 Mechelen 32 16 5 11 +10 53
7 Genk 31 15 6 10 +10 51
8 Anderlecht 32 12 12 8 +13 48
9 Waregem 32 12 7 13 +4 43
10 Kortrijk 32 10 6 16 -7 36
11 St Truiden 32 10 6 16 -17 36
12 Eupen 32 10 6 16 -23 36
13 Mouscron 28 8 9 11 -3 33
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 28 8 9 11 -3 33
15 Cercle Brugge 31 8 4 19 -25 28
16 Oostende 32 6 5 21 -32 23
17 Waasland-Beveren 28 5 5 18 -38 20
18 Beveren 28 5 5 18 -38 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Club Brugge
3′
C. De Ketelaere 0–1
Clinton Mata
1–1 J. Ito
9′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 S. Schrijvers
↦ P. Tau
S. Odey 🔁
↦ M. Dæhli
58′
62′
🟨 Krépin Diatta
Dries Wouters 🟨
63′
64′
🟨 Clinton Mata
71′
🟨 Éder Balanta
Kouassi Eboue 🟨
72′
74′
🔁 M. Krmenčík
↦ C. De Ketelaere
B. Limbombe 🔁
↦ T. Bongonda
80′
83′
🔁 D. Okereke
↦ K. Diatta
89′
M. Rits 1–2
D. Okereke
90′
🟨 Eduard Sobol
J. Paintsil 🔁
↦ D. Wouters
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Genk

4-2-3-1
30 T. Didillon G
6 S. Dewaest D
33 J. Lucumí D
46 C. Cuesta D
20 M. Dæhli M
17 P. Hrošovský M
4 D. Wouters D
38 K. Eboue M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
27 T. Bongonda M
7 J. Ito
Bench (7)
15 S. Odey
22 B. Limbombe
11 J. Paintsil
28 G. Coucke
35 S. Adewoye
16 E. Sierra
5 Neto

Coach: H. Wolf

Club Brugge

3-4-1-2
88 S. Mignolet G
2 E. Sobol D
77 Clinton Mata D
3 É. Álvarez M
17 S. Deli D
44 B. Mechele D
26 M. Rits M
20 H. Vanaken M
90 C. De Ketelaere M
35 P. Tau F
11 K. Diatta M
Bench (7)
16 S. Schrijvers
9 M. Krmenčík
14 D. Okereke
22 E. Horvath
18 F. Ricca
15 M. Mitrović
19 T. Vlietinck

Coach: P. Clement

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,89
U
3,56
B ✓
1,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,86
U2,5
1,91
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Eric Lambrechts · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.