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Pro League
Referee: Jonathan Lardot
Mechelen
T T T T U
1–0
Full-time
Eupen
S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Eupen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,7
Scored
0,3
0,8
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 16%
16%
16%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
36%
60%
Both score Ø 52%
44%
60%
Average goals
2,6
3,2
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
11 Shots 2
8 Shots on target 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
15 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 16. · Eupen 15. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 17 14 2 1 +26 44
2 Antwerp 25 9 10 6 +5 37
3 Anderlecht 16 10 4 2 +11 34
4 Beveren 25 9 6 10 +3 33
5 Kortrijk 25 9 6 10 -2 33
6 St Truiden 25 8 9 8 -7 33
7 Charleroi 16 9 5 2 +14 32
8 Genk 18 7 8 3 +6 29
9 Oostende 26 8 5 13 -1 29
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 25 8 5 12 -11 29
11 Gent 16 8 4 4 +13 28
12 Waregem 26 8 4 14 -8 28
13 Lokeren 25 7 6 12 -13 27
14 Standard 17 6 6 5 +2 24
15 Eupen 25 4 9 12 -18 21
16 Mechelen 25 4 7 14 -20 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Oct -17 Eupen – Mechelen 4–1 2. Dec -16 Mechelen – Eupen 1–0 6. Aug -16 Eupen – Mechelen 0–2

Match report

Mechelen Eupen
20′
🟨 Siebe Blondelle
37′
🔁 Marc Valiente
↦ S. Blondelle
Half-time 0–0
Rob Schoofs 🟨
46′
N. Pedersen 🔁
↦ T. Matthys
56′
57′
🔁 M. Wagué
↦ M. Peybernes
F. Camus 🔁
↦ R. Schoofs
66′
67′
🔁 N. Schouterden
↦ F. Raspentino
1–0 N. Pedersen ⚽
H. Bandé
72′
L. Paulussen 🔁
↦ C. Tainmont
83′
89′
🟨 Moussa Wague
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-5-1
26 C. Coosemans G
18 M. Bagayoko D
15 E. Cocalić D
6 G. Mera D
22 E. Cobbaut D
7 T. Matthys M
21 C. Tainmont M
11 M. Rits M
40 Y. Sylla M
16 R. Schoofs M
27 H. Bandé F
Bench (8)
9 N. Pedersen
28 F. Camus
2 L. Paulussen
19 F. Bećiraj
10 D. Kolovos
30 H. Smolders
49 A. Moris
77 G. Claes

Coach: D. van Wijk

Eupen

5-3-2
1 H. Van Crombrugge G
22 S. Blondelle D
4 J. Lotiès D
3 M. Peybernes D
23 M. Tirpan D
6 R. Mulumba M
8 J. Amani M
10 Luis García F
9 M. Leye F
19 F. Raspentino F
28 E. Ocansey F
Bench (7)
44 Marc Valiente
15 M. Wagué
18 N. Schouterden
20 Y. Toyokawa
5 D. Diagné
14 A. Castro-Montes
30 B. Niasse

Coach: C. Makélélé

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jonathan Lardot · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.