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Pro League
Referee: Christof Dierick
St Truiden
T S S S T
5–2
Full-time
Eupen
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Eupen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 28/27 matches
Win Ø 31%
32%
30%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
44%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–2

54% Possession 46%
12 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Truiden 10. · Eupen 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 27 20 6 1 +44 66
2 Gent 28 16 7 5 +28 55
3 Charleroi 28 15 9 4 +28 54
4 Antwerp 27 15 6 6 +20 51
5 Standard 28 14 6 8 +18 48
6 Genk 28 14 5 9 +11 47
7 Waregem 28 12 5 11 +6 41
8 Mechelen 26 12 5 9 -1 41
9 Anderlecht 28 9 12 7 +4 39
10 St Truiden 28 9 6 13 -13 33
11 Mouscron 25 7 9 9 -2 30
12 Eupen 27 8 6 13 -16 30
13 Royal Excel Mouscron 24 6 9 9 -4 27
14 Kortrijk 27 7 5 15 -11 26
15 Oostende 28 6 4 18 -25 22
16 Waasland-Beveren 24 5 5 14 -29 20
17 Beveren 24 5 5 14 -29 20
18 Cercle Brugge 27 4 4 19 -29 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Eupen
1–0 M. Konaté
S. Colombatto
13′
29′
S. Prevljak 1–1
40′
J. Cools 1–2
2–2 S. Asamoah
F. Colidio
42′
Half-time 3–2
3–2 S. Asamoah
J. Botaka
46′
48′
🟨 Jordi Amat
Samuel Asamoah 🟨
53′
62′
🔁 Carlos Embalo
↦ J. Cools
4–2 S. Asamoah
63′
Samuel Asamoah 🟨
65′
Samuel Asamoah 🟥
65′
68′
🟨 Emmanuel Sowah
C. Durkin 🔁
↦ J. Botaka
69′
Yuma Suzuki 🟨
72′
77′
🔁 J. Bolingi
↦ M. Koch
T. Ito 🔁
↦ Y. Suzuki
79′
Samy Mmaee 🟨
82′
W. Janssens 🔁
↦ T. De Smet
85′
5–2 C. Durkin
F. Colidio
95′
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

St Truiden

4-4-2
1 K. Steppe G
20 S. Mmaee D
28 T. De Smet D
7 J. Botaka F
12 S. Asamoah M
5 S. Colombatto M
8 I. Sankhon M
24 M. Konaté M
14 A. De Bruyn M
9 Y. Suzuki F
18 F. Colidio F
Bench (7)
32 C. Durkin
23 T. Ito
22 W. Janssens
26 Jorge Teixeira
10 Lee Seung-Woo
50 Alan Sousa
35 T. Herbots

Coach: M. Kostič

Eupen

4-4-2
1 O. De Wolf G
5 Jordi Amat D
3 M. Koch D
23 O. Verdon D
25 E. Sowah Adjei D
24 S. Gnaka D
77 D. Miličević M
26 J. Cools M
20 K. Musona F
21 Jon Bautista F
7 S. Prevljak F
Bench (7)
17 Carlos Embalo
19 J. Bolingi
66 S. Ezatolahi
30 R. Matthys
22 S. Blondelle
9 F. Ciampichetti
35 L. Boris

Coach: Beñat San José

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,16
U
3,33
B
3,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,00
U2,5
1,79
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Christof Dierick · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.