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Pro League
Referee: Wesley Alen
Eupen
T U T U U
4–1
Full-time
Mechelen
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,3
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
2,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 10%
10%
10%
Points per game
0,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
90%
40%
Both score Ø 75%
80%
70%
Average goals
4,1
2,9
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

6 Corners 7
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eupen 15. · Mechelen 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 7 6 0 1 +10 18
2 Antwerp 10 5 3 2 +4 18
3 Royal Excel Mouscron 11 5 3 3 +0 18
4 St Truiden 10 5 2 3 +0 17
5 Waregem 10 5 1 4 +6 16
6 Charleroi 7 4 3 0 +6 15
7 Anderlecht 7 4 2 1 +3 14
8 Beveren 10 3 3 4 +5 12
9 Lokeren 11 3 3 5 -3 12
10 Standard 7 3 2 2 +0 11
11 Genk 7 2 4 1 +2 10
12 Kortrijk 10 2 3 5 -6 9
13 Mechelen 10 1 5 4 -3 8
14 Gent 7 2 1 4 +0 7
15 Eupen 10 1 3 6 -15 6
16 Oostende 10 1 2 7 -9 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eupen Mechelen
1–0 E. Ocansey
26′
Eric Ocansey 🟨
27′
2–0 E. Ocansey
Akram Afif
33′
34′
🟨 Edin Cocalić
3–0 N. Verdier
36′
38′
B. Bandé 3–1
Y. Croizet
Nicolas Verdier 🟨
45′
Half-time 3–1
46′
🔁 M. Rits
↦ T. Matthys
52′
🟨 Yohan Croizet
N. Schouterden 🔁
↦ N. Verdier
55′
61′
🔁 S. Dražić
↦ N. Pedersen
D. Diagné 🔁
↦ M. Wagué
69′
70′
🔁 D. Kolovos
↦ A. El Messaoudi
J. Amani 🔁
↦ E. Ocansey
76′
Jean Thierry Lazare Armani 🟨
80′
Akram Afif 🟨
81′
4–1 Luis García
N. Schouterden
85′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Eupen

1 H. Van Crombrugge G
22 S. Blondelle D
44 Marc Valiente D
3 Abdelkarim Hassan M
23 M. Tirpan D
15 M. Wagué D
10 Luis García F
9 M. Leye F
99 N. Verdier M
11 Akram Afif M
28 E. Ocansey F
Bench (7)
18 N. Schouterden
5 D. Diagné
8 J. Amani
7 Hamza Sanhaji
14 A. Castro-Montes
25 G. Jamabo
30 B. Niasse

Coach: Jordi Condom

Mechelen

26 C. Coosemans G
4 S. De Witte D
15 E. Cocalić D
3 A. El Messaoudi D
22 E. Cobbaut D
7 T. Matthys M
17 I. Tomečak M
16 R. Schoofs
10 Y. Croizet M
9 N. Pedersen F
27 B. Bandé F
Bench (7)
11 M. Rits
99 S. Dražić
20 D. Kolovos
30 H. Smolders
35 S. Ganvoula
49 A. Moris
63 F. Rherras

Coach: Y. Ferrera

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Wesley Alen · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.