Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Bournemouth
Everton
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +18 | +15.5 | 30 |
| 2 |
Man City
|
13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | +15 | +10.9 | 25 |
| 3 |
Chelsea
|
13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +12 | +7.7 | 24 |
| 4 |
Aston Villa
|
13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +5 | -4.9 | 24 |
| 5 |
Brighton
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +5 | +4.0 | 22 |
| 6 |
Sunderland
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +4 | -5.3 | 22 |
| 7 |
Man United
|
13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +1 | +2.5 | 21 |
| 8 |
Liverpool
|
13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | +0 | +5.3 | 21 |
| 9 |
Crystal Palace
|
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +6 | +6.7 | 20 |
| 10 |
Brentford
|
13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | +1 | +5.9 | 19 |
| 11 |
Bournemouth
|
13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -2 | +2.1 | 19 |
| 12 |
Tottenham
|
13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +5 | -5.6 | 18 |
| 13 |
Newcastle
|
13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +1 | +2.4 | 18 |
| 14 |
Everton
|
13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -3 | -3.2 | 18 |
| 15 |
Fulham
|
13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -2 | -2.2 | 17 |
| 16 |
Nott'm Forest
|
13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -9 | -4.4 | 12 |
| 17 |
West Ham
|
13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -12 | -8.7 | 11 |
| 18 |
Leeds
|
13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -12 | -3.1 | 11 |
| 19 |
Burnley
|
13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -12 | -19.1 | 10 |
| 20 |
Wolves
|
13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -21 | -6.6 | 2 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
D. Petrovic
G
A. Jimenez
D
B. Diakite
D
A. Truffert
D
T. Adams
M
A. Scott
M
J. Kluivert
M
A. Semenyo
M
Coach: Andoni Iraola
J. Pickford
G
J. Garner
D
J. Tarkowski
D
J. O'Brien
D
V. Mykolenko
D
T. Iroegbunam
M
K. Dewsbury-Hall
M
I. Ndiaye
M
C. Alcaraz
M
J. Grealish
M
T. Barry
F
Coach: Leighton Baines
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sunderland
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
West Ham
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
Man City
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Nott'm Forest
M Salisbury · 127 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.