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Pro League

Referee: Frederik Geldhof

Charleroi

S T S S S

0–3

Full-time

St Truiden

T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

1,8

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,2

This season — Pro League · 7/9 matches

Win Ø 40%

57%

22%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

71%

22%

Both score Ø 52%

71%

33%

Average goals

3,1

2,1

Scored

2,1

0,7

Conceded

1,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%

12 Shots 5

2 Shots on target 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

12 Corners 2

4 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Charleroi 5. · St Truiden 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Standard	8	6	0	2	+14	18
2	Club Brugge	7	5	2	0	+14	17
3	Antwerp	7	5	0	2	+9	15
4	Mechelen	9	4	3	2	+3	15
5	Charleroi	7	4	2	1	+8	14
6	Mouscron	7	4	2	1	+3	14
7	Royal Excel Mouscron	7	4	2	1	+3	14
8	Gent	7	4	1	2	+9	13
9	Genk	8	4	1	3	+5	13
10	Waregem	7	3	2	2	+0	11
11	Oostende	7	3	1	3	-3	10
12	St Truiden	9	2	3	4	-7	9
13	Kortrijk	9	2	2	5	-3	8
14	Anderlecht	8	1	3	4	-4	6
15	Cercle Brugge	8	2	0	6	-9	6
16	Eupen	9	0	4	5	-14	4
17	Waasland-Beveren	7	0	2	5	-14	2
18	Beveren	7	0	2	5	-14	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Standard	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Gent	4	4	0	0	+11	12
3	Mouscron	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Royal Excel Mouscron	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Antwerp	3	3	0	0	+8	9
6	Mechelen	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Charleroi	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	Waregem	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	Genk	3	2	0	1	+0	6
10	St Truiden	6	1	3	2	-1	6
11	Oostende	4	2	0	2	-2	6
12	Cercle Brugge	5	2	0	3	-4	6
13	Club Brugge	3	1	2	0	+6	5
14	Kortrijk	4	1	2	1	+1	5
15	Anderlecht	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Eupen	5	0	3	2	-5	3
17	Waasland-Beveren	3	0	0	3	-10	0
18	Beveren	3	0	0	3	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Charleroi	4	2	1	1	+6	7
3	Genk	5	2	1	2	+5	7
4	Mechelen	5	2	1	2	-1	7
5	Standard	4	2	0	2	+3	6
6	Antwerp	4	2	0	2	+1	6
7	Waregem	4	1	2	1	-2	5
8	Oostende	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Mouscron	3	1	1	1	-2	4
10	Royal Excel Mouscron	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Kortrijk	5	1	0	4	-4	3
12	St Truiden	3	1	0	2	-6	3
13	Anderlecht	4	0	2	2	-3	2
14	Waasland-Beveren	4	0	2	2	-4	2
15	Beveren	4	0	2	2	-4	2
16	Gent	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Eupen	4	0	1	3	-9	1
18	Cercle Brugge	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.