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LaLiga2

Vallecano

U S T S U

1–1

Full-time

Almeria

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Almeria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

1,3

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,7

This season — LaLiga2 · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

1,3

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

14 Shots 4

5 Shots on target 1

8 Corners 0

11 Free kicks against 24

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vallecano 6. · Almeria 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Almeria	6	5	1	0	+10	16
2	Cadiz	7	5	1	1	+4	16
3	Zaragoza	6	4	2	0	+8	14
4	Alcorcon	7	3	2	2	+2	11
5	Fuenlabrada	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Vallecano	6	2	3	1	+2	9
7	Huesca	6	3	0	3	+1	9
8	Albacete	6	3	0	3	-6	9
9	Numancia	6	2	2	2	+1	8
10	Lugo	7	1	5	1	+0	8
11	Elche	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Tenerife	6	2	2	2	-1	8
13	Ponferradina	6	1	4	1	+2	7
14	Girona	6	2	1	3	-2	7
15	Sp Gijon	6	1	3	2	+0	6
16	Malaga	6	1	3	2	-1	6
17	Las Palmas	6	1	3	2	-3	6
18	La Coruna	7	1	3	3	-4	6
19	Mirandes	7	1	3	3	-6	6
20	Santander	6	1	2	3	+0	5
21	Extremadura UD	6	0	3	3	-4	3
22	Oviedo	6	0	2	4	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Zaragoza	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Almeria	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Vallecano	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Girona	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Huesca	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Numancia	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Ponferradina	3	1	2	0	+4	5
9	Sp Gijon	3	1	2	0	+2	5
10	Lugo	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Mirandes	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Santander	4	1	1	2	+2	4
13	Tenerife	2	1	1	0	+1	4
14	Fuenlabrada	2	1	1	0	+1	4
15	La Coruna	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Las Palmas	4	1	1	2	-3	4
17	Alcorcon	3	1	0	2	-1	3
18	Albacete	2	1	0	1	-3	3
19	Malaga	3	0	2	1	-1	2
20	Elche	3	0	2	1	-2	2
21	Oviedo	3	0	2	1	-2	2
22	Extremadura UD	2	0	1	1	-1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alcorcon	4	2	2	0	+3	8
2	Almeria	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Elche	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Fuenlabrada	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Cadiz	3	2	0	1	-1	6
6	Albacete	4	2	0	2	-3	6
7	Zaragoza	2	1	1	0	+3	4
8	Malaga	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Tenerife	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Lugo	3	0	3	0	+0	3
11	Huesca	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Las Palmas	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Numancia	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Ponferradina	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Vallecano	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Extremadura UD	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	La Coruna	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Santander	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Sp Gijon	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Mirandes	3	0	1	2	-6	1
21	Oviedo	3	0	0	3	-3	0
22	Girona	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.