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Bundesliga

Referee: M Hameter

Admira

T U T T T

1–1

Full-time

St. Polten

U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Admira St. Polten

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,7

3,8

Scored

0,5

0,8

Conceded

3,2

3,0

Goal diff per game

-2,7

-2,2

This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 7%

14%

Points per game

0,1

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

71%

Both score Ø 43%

43%

Average goals

3,6

3,7

Scored

0,4

0,7

Conceded

3,1

3,0

Goal diff per game

-2,7

-2,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%

11 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 8

3 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 25

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Admira 12. · St. Polten 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	7	7	0	0	+28	21
2	LASK	7	5	1	1	+8	16
3	Wolfsberger AC	7	5	0	2	+11	15
4	SK Rapid	7	4	1	2	+6	13
5	Sturm Graz	7	4	0	3	+3	12
6	Hartberg	7	3	2	2	+0	11
7	Tirol	7	2	2	3	-3	8
8	Altach	7	2	1	4	+0	7
9	Mattersburg	7	2	0	5	-12	6
10	Austria Vienna	7	1	2	4	-6	5
11	St. Polten	7	1	2	4	-16	5
12	Admira	7	0	1	6	-19	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	4	4	0	0	+16	12
2	Wolfsberger AC	4	3	0	1	+10	9
3	Altach	4	2	1	1	+6	7
4	Hartberg	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	SK Rapid	4	2	0	2	+3	6
6	Sturm Graz	4	2	0	2	+2	6
7	LASK	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Tirol	3	1	1	1	-2	4
9	Mattersburg	4	1	0	3	-6	3
10	Austria Vienna	3	0	1	2	-5	1
11	St. Polten	3	0	1	2	-8	1
12	Admira	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Salzburg	3	3	0	0	+12	9
3	SK Rapid	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Wolfsberger AC	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Sturm Graz	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Austria Vienna	4	1	1	2	-1	4
7	Tirol	4	1	1	2	-1	4
8	Hartberg	4	1	1	2	-4	4
9	St. Polten	4	1	1	2	-8	4
10	Mattersburg	3	1	0	2	-6	3
11	Admira	4	0	1	3	-13	1
12	Altach	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.