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Pro League

Referee: Nathan Verboomen

Charleroi

U S T S S

2–1

Full-time

Genk

T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

2,2

1,8

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,8

This season — Pro League · 6/7 matches

Win Ø 54%

50%

57%

Points per game

1,8

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

67%

57%

Both score Ø 55%

67%

43%

Average goals

3,2

2,9

Scored

2,2

1,9

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

33% Possession 67%

3 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 3

0 Offside 4

14 Free kicks against 8

6 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Charleroi 6. · Genk 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Standard	7	5	0	2	+11	15
2	Club Brugge	6	4	2	0	+12	14
3	Genk	7	4	1	2	+6	13
4	Antwerp	6	4	0	2	+8	12
5	Mechelen	7	3	3	1	+5	12
6	Charleroi	6	3	2	1	+7	11
7	Mouscron	6	3	2	1	+1	11
8	Royal Excel Mouscron	6	3	2	1	+1	11
9	Gent	6	3	1	2	+6	10
10	Oostende	6	3	1	2	+0	10
11	Waregem	6	3	1	2	+0	10
12	Kortrijk	6	2	2	2	+2	8
13	St Truiden	7	2	1	4	-7	7
14	Anderlecht	7	1	3	3	-3	6
15	Cercle Brugge	7	2	0	5	-7	6
16	Eupen	8	0	3	5	-14	3
17	Waasland-Beveren	6	0	1	5	-14	1
18	Beveren	6	0	1	5	-14	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Standard	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Gent	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Antwerp	3	3	0	0	+8	9
4	Mechelen	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Mouscron	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Royal Excel Mouscron	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Waregem	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Oostende	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Genk	3	2	0	1	+0	6
10	Cercle Brugge	4	2	0	2	-2	6
11	Club Brugge	3	1	2	0	+6	5
12	Kortrijk	3	1	2	0	+2	5
13	Charleroi	2	1	1	0	+1	4
14	Anderlecht	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	St Truiden	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Eupen	4	0	2	2	-5	2
17	Waasland-Beveren	3	0	0	3	-10	0
18	Beveren	3	0	0	3	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Charleroi	4	2	1	1	+6	7
3	Genk	4	2	1	1	+6	7
4	Mechelen	3	1	1	1	+1	4
5	Oostende	3	1	1	1	-1	4
6	Mouscron	3	1	1	1	-2	4
7	Royal Excel Mouscron	3	1	1	1	-2	4
8	Waregem	3	1	1	1	-2	4
9	Kortrijk	3	1	0	2	+0	3
10	Antwerp	3	1	0	2	+0	3
11	Standard	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	St Truiden	3	1	0	2	-6	3
13	Anderlecht	4	0	2	2	-3	2
14	Gent	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Waasland-Beveren	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Beveren	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Eupen	4	0	1	3	-9	1
18	Cercle Brugge	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.