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Ligue 1
Referee: W Delajod
Nice
S S T S T
2–1
Full-time
Dijon
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Dijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,7
0,5
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
60%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
100%
20%
Both score Ø 60%
100%
20%
Average goals
3,0
1,6
Scored
1,6
0,2
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

66% Possession 34%
16 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nice 6. · Dijon 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 5 4 0 1 +9 12
2 Marseille 6 3 2 1 +1 11
3 Rennes 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Nantes 6 3 1 2 +1 10
5 Lille 5 3 0 2 +2 9
6 Nice 5 3 0 2 +1 9
7 Angers 5 3 0 2 +0 9
8 Lyon 5 2 2 1 +8 8
9 Bordeaux 5 2 2 1 +2 8
10 Montpellier 6 2 2 2 +0 8
11 Toulouse 5 2 2 1 -1 8
12 Reims 5 2 1 2 +2 7
13 Strasbourg 6 1 3 2 -2 6
14 Brest 5 1 3 1 -2 6
15 Nimes 5 1 2 2 -1 5
16 St Etienne 5 1 2 2 -3 5
17 Amiens 5 1 1 3 -3 4
18 Metz 5 1 1 3 -4 4
19 Monaco 5 0 2 3 -7 2
20 Dijon 5 0 1 4 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nice Dijon
22′
Júlio Tavares 0–1
H. Mendyl
1–1 K. Dolberg
A. Ounas
29′
44′
🟨 Nayef Aguerd
Half-time 2–1
2–1 Y. Atal
P. Lees Melou
47′
Youcef Atal 🟨
61′
62′
🔁 B. Soumaré
↦ Matheus Pereira
I. Ganago 🔁
↦ A. Ounas
66′
M. Sarr 🔁
↦ R. Coly
70′
Malang Sarr 🟨
73′
76′
🔁 R. Amalfitano
↦ M. Chouiar
A. Claude Maurice 🔁
↦ K. Dolberg
79′
79′
🔁 F. Chafik
↦ M. Alphonse
86′
🟨 Romain Amalfitano
89′
🟨 Wesley Lautoa
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Nice

4-3-3
40 W. Benítez G
12 R. Coly D
15 P. Burner D
2 S. N'Soki D
20 Y. Atal F
24 A. Pelmard D
25 W. Cyprien M
8 P. Lees Melou M
22 A. Lusamba M
10 A. Ounas F
9 K. Dolberg F
Bench (7)
14 I. Ganago
23 M. Sarr
18 A. Claude Maurice
5 A. Tameze
28 H. Boudaoui
16 Y. Clementia
21 Danilo Barbosa

Coach: P. Vieira

Dijon

4-2-3-1
16 A. Gomis G
25 B. Écuélé Manga D
2 M. Alphonse D
24 W. Lautoa M
4 N. Aguerd D
27 H. Mendyl D
22 D. Ndong M
10 Matheus Pereira M
11 Júlio Tavares F
9 S. Mavididi M
21 M. Chouiar M
Bench (7)
8 B. Soumaré
20 R. Amalfitano
26 F. Chafik
15 F. Balmont
1 R. Rúnarsson
12 E. Loiodice
3 G. Ngonda

Coach: S. Jobard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,75
U
3,64
B
4,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,07
U2,5
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Delajod · 165 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.