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Pro League
Referee: Alexandre Boucaut
Waregem
U U T T S
3–1
Full-time
Charleroi
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

5 Shots 4
3 Shots on target 2
3 Corners 5
13 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waregem 13. · Charleroi 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 5 4 1 0 +12 13
2 Standard 5 4 0 1 +11 12
3 Antwerp 5 4 0 1 +10 12
4 Mechelen 4 3 1 0 +6 10
5 Genk 5 3 0 2 +5 9
6 Gent 5 2 1 2 +5 7
7 Kortrijk 4 2 1 1 +3 7
8 Mouscron 4 2 1 1 -1 7
9 Royal Excel Mouscron 4 2 1 1 -1 7
10 Oostende 4 2 0 2 -1 6
11 Charleroi 3 1 2 0 +1 5
12 Anderlecht 5 0 3 2 -3 3
13 Waregem 3 1 0 2 -4 3
14 Eupen 5 0 3 2 -8 3
15 St Truiden 5 1 0 4 -9 3
16 Waasland-Beveren 4 0 1 3 -9 1
17 Beveren 4 0 1 3 -9 1
18 Cercle Brugge 4 0 0 4 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem Charleroi
1–0 D. De fauw
31′
45′
🟨 Christophe Diandy
Half-time 2–0
2–0 S. Berahino
C. Larin
48′
Cyle Larin 🟨
61′
62′
🔁 J. Perbet
↦ C. Diandy
65′
R. Morioka 2–1
M. Ilaimaharitra
D. Oberlin 🔁
↦ L. Zarandia
74′
74′
🔁 D. Henen
↦ A. Niane
Omar Govea 🟨
82′
D. Marcq 🔁
↦ O. Govea
86′
88′
🔁 A. Gholizadeh
↦ Nurio Fortuna
3–1 D. Oberlin
91′
G. Bruno 🔁
↦ C. Larin
94′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Waregem

5-4-1
1 S. Bossut G
2 D. De fauw D
45 O. Deschacht D
23 M. Bürki D
24 E. Pletinckx D
21 I. Seck M
20 H. Bjørdal M
7 L. Zarandia F
10 O. Govea M
38 S. Berahino F
9 C. Larin F
Bench (7)
27 D. Oberlin
5 D. Marcq
19 G. Bruno
43 N. Kainourgios
14 S. Walsh
44 E. Bansen
29 M. De Smet

Coach: F. Dury

Charleroi

4-3-3
1 N. Penneteau G
17 S. Marinos D
24 D. Dessoleil D
5 M. Diagne D
25 Nurio Fortuna D
13 C. Diandy M
44 R. Morioka M
77 M. Bruno F
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
27 M. Fall F
9 A. Niane F
Bench (7)
10 J. Perbet
7 D. Henen
8 A. Gholizadeh
6 G. Zajkov
22 G. Hendrickx
40 R. Descamps
4 M. Busi

Coach: K. Belhocine

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,79
U
3,56
B
2,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,24
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alexandre Boucaut · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.