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Pro League

Referee: Christof Dierick

Charleroi

U S T S T

1–0

Full-time

St Truiden

S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

This season — Pro League · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 71%

75%

67%

Average goals

2,9

2,6

Scored

1,4

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

16 Shots 9

9 Shots on target 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 8

6 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Charleroi 9. · St Truiden 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	9	7	2	0	+17	23
2	Antwerp	9	7	1	1	+8	22
3	Club Brugge	8	6	2	0	+15	20
4	Gent	8	6	1	1	+12	19
5	Anderlecht	8	6	1	1	+11	19
6	St Truiden	12	4	6	2	+3	18
7	Kortrijk	12	4	3	5	-2	15
8	Oostende	12	4	3	5	-7	15
9	Charleroi	12	4	2	6	-1	14
10	Standard	8	3	4	1	+5	13
11	Eupen	12	4	1	7	-9	13
12	Cercle Brugge	12	3	4	5	-9	13
13	Beveren	12	1	7	4	-3	10
14	Royal Excel Mouscron	12	1	3	8	-12	6
15	Lokeren	12	1	3	8	-13	6
16	Waregem	12	1	3	8	-15	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	Genk	5	4	1	0	+8	13
3	St Truiden	6	3	3	0	+5	12
4	Anderlecht	4	3	1	0	+7	10
5	Antwerp	4	3	1	0	+6	10
6	Gent	5	3	1	1	+4	10
7	Cercle Brugge	6	3	1	2	-2	10
8	Charleroi	6	3	0	3	+0	9
9	Oostende	6	2	1	3	-5	7
10	Eupen	6	2	0	4	-4	6
11	Standard	3	1	2	0	+1	5
12	Beveren	6	0	5	1	-1	5
13	Waregem	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Lokeren	6	1	2	3	-8	5
15	Kortrijk	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	6	1	1	4	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	5	4	0	1	+2	12
2	Kortrijk	7	3	2	2	+2	11
3	Genk	4	3	1	0	+9	10
4	Gent	3	3	0	0	+8	9
5	Anderlecht	4	3	0	1	+4	9
6	Standard	5	2	2	1	+4	8
7	Oostende	6	2	2	2	-2	8
8	Club Brugge	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Eupen	6	2	1	3	-5	7
10	St Truiden	6	1	3	2	-2	6
11	Charleroi	6	1	2	3	-1	5
12	Beveren	6	1	2	3	-2	5
13	Cercle Brugge	6	0	3	3	-7	3
14	Royal Excel Mouscron	6	0	2	4	-7	2
15	Lokeren	6	0	1	5	-5	1
16	Waregem	6	0	1	5	-13	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.