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Pro League

Referee: Alexandre Boucaut

St Truiden

T S S S U

3–1

Full-time

Charleroi

S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

This season — Pro League · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 42%

42%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

54%

62%

Both score Ø 71%

73%

69%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

53% Possession 47%

10 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 8

4 Offside 6

7 Free kicks against 18

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Truiden 1. · Charleroi 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Truiden	26	11	10	5	+12	43
2	Charleroi	26	11	5	10	+2	38
3	Genk	17	11	4	2	+21	37
4	Antwerp	17	12	1	4	+12	37
5	Kortrijk	27	10	7	10	+1	37
6	Standard	17	10	5	2	+17	35
7	Royal Excel Mouscron	27	10	5	12	-1	35
8	Gent	17	10	2	5	+14	32
9	Club Brugge	17	9	4	4	+16	31
10	Anderlecht	17	9	4	4	+11	31
11	Waregem	27	8	7	12	-9	31
12	Eupen	27	9	2	16	-19	29
13	Cercle Brugge	27	7	7	13	-20	28
14	Oostende	27	6	8	13	-20	26
15	Beveren	27	5	10	12	-12	25
16	Lokeren	27	4	5	18	-25	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Truiden	13	7	5	1	+11	26
2	Royal Excel Mouscron	14	7	3	4	+7	24
3	Charleroi	13	7	2	4	+5	23
4	Cercle Brugge	14	6	3	5	-3	21
5	Standard	8	6	2	0	+12	20
6	Anderlecht	9	5	4	0	+11	19
7	Gent	9	6	1	2	+10	19
8	Waregem	13	5	4	4	+4	19
9	Eupen	14	6	0	8	-4	18
10	Genk	9	5	2	2	+8	17
11	Club Brugge	8	5	1	2	+12	16
12	Antwerp	8	5	1	2	+5	16
13	Kortrijk	13	4	3	6	-4	15
14	Beveren	14	3	6	5	-5	15
15	Oostende	13	4	3	6	-7	15
16	Lokeren	13	4	3	6	-9	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kortrijk	14	6	4	4	+5	22
2	Antwerp	9	7	0	2	+7	21
3	Genk	8	6	2	0	+13	20
4	St Truiden	13	4	5	4	+1	17
5	Standard	9	4	3	2	+5	15
6	Club Brugge	9	4	3	2	+4	15
7	Charleroi	13	4	3	6	-3	15
8	Gent	8	4	1	3	+4	13
9	Anderlecht	8	4	0	4	+0	12
10	Waregem	14	3	3	8	-13	12
11	Royal Excel Mouscron	13	3	2	8	-8	11
12	Oostende	14	2	5	7	-13	11
13	Eupen	13	3	2	8	-15	11
14	Beveren	13	2	4	7	-7	10
15	Cercle Brugge	13	1	4	8	-17	7
16	Lokeren	14	0	2	12	-16	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.