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LaLiga2
Zaragoza
S U S S S
0–0
Full-time
Lugo
U T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Lugo
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 49%
80%
17%
Points per game
2,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
40%
33%
Both score Ø 54%
40%
67%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
0,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 49%
80%
17%
Points per game
2,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
40%
33%
Both score Ø 54%
40%
67%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
0,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

25 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 2
8 Corners 3
11 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaragoza 3. · Lugo 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Almeria 6 5 1 0 +10 16
2 Cadiz 7 5 1 1 +4 16
3 Zaragoza 5 4 1 0 +8 13
4 Alcorcon 7 3 2 2 +2 11
5 Fuenlabrada 5 3 1 1 +2 10
6 Vallecano 6 2 3 1 +2 9
7 Huesca 6 3 0 3 +1 9
8 Albacete 6 3 0 3 -6 9
9 Numancia 6 2 2 2 +1 8
10 Elche 6 2 2 2 +0 8
11 Tenerife 6 2 2 2 -1 8
12 Ponferradina 6 1 4 1 +2 7
13 Lugo 6 1 4 1 +0 7
14 Girona 6 2 1 3 -2 7
15 Sp Gijon 6 1 3 2 +0 6
16 Malaga 6 1 3 2 -1 6
17 Las Palmas 6 1 3 2 -3 6
18 La Coruna 7 1 3 3 -4 6
19 Mirandes 7 1 3 3 -6 6
20 Santander 6 1 2 3 +0 5
21 Extremadura UD 6 0 3 3 -4 3
22 Oviedo 6 0 2 4 -5 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,45
U ✓
4,22
B
6,94
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,92
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.