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Süper Lig

Referee: H Göçek

Kayserispor

T U T U

1–1

Full-time

Denizlispor

S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Denizlispor

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

75%

Average goals

3,0

1,3

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,8

This season — Süper Lig · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

75%

Average goals

3,0

1,3

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%

12 Shots 18

5 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kayserispor 17. · Denizlispor 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Rizespor	4	2	2	0	+2	8
3	Fenerbahce	4	2	1	1	+4	7
4	Denizlispor	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Galatasaray	4	2	1	1	+0	7
6	Gaziantep	4	2	1	1	-1	7
7	Yeni Malatyaspor	4	2	0	2	+5	6
8	Trabzonspor	4	1	3	0	+1	6
9	Konyaspor	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Sivasspor	4	1	2	1	+2	5
11	Ankaragücü	4	1	2	1	-3	5
12	Goztep	5	1	2	2	-3	5
13	Antalyaspor	5	1	2	2	-4	5
14	Besiktas	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Kasimpasa	5	1	1	3	-2	4
16	Buyuksehyr	4	1	1	2	-3	4
17	Kayserispor	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Genclerbirligi	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Gaziantep	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Fenerbahce	2	1	1	0	+5	4
4	Sivasspor	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Besiktas	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Kasimpasa	3	1	1	1	+2	4
7	Trabzonspor	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Rizespor	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Galatasaray	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Goztep	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Yeni Malatyaspor	2	1	0	1	+2	3
12	Denizlispor	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Konyaspor	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Buyuksehyr	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Antalyaspor	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Ankaragücü	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Kayserispor	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Genclerbirligi	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Denizlispor	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Rizespor	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Ankaragücü	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Konyaspor	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Antalyaspor	3	1	1	1	-2	4
7	Yeni Malatyaspor	2	1	0	1	+3	3
8	Galatasaray	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Fenerbahce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Buyuksehyr	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Kayserispor	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Trabzonspor	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Sivasspor	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Genclerbirligi	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Goztep	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Gaziantep	2	0	1	1	-5	1
17	Besiktas	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Kasimpasa	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.