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Ligue 1

Referee: K Abed

Nimes

T T U S U

1–0

Full-time

Toulouse

U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nimes Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

20%

40%

Points per game

1,0

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

80%

40%

Both score Ø 40%

40%

Average goals

2,6

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%

19 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Nimes 15. · Toulouse 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	4	0	1	+9	12
2	Marseille	6	3	2	1	+1	11
3	Rennes	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Nantes	6	3	1	2	+1	10
5	Lille	5	3	0	2	+2	9
6	Nice	5	3	0	2	+1	9
7	Angers	5	3	0	2	+0	9
8	Lyon	5	2	2	1	+8	8
9	Bordeaux	5	2	2	1	+2	8
10	Montpellier	6	2	2	2	+0	8
11	Toulouse	5	2	2	1	-1	8
12	Reims	5	2	1	2	+2	7
13	Strasbourg	6	1	3	2	-2	6
14	Brest	5	1	3	1	-2	6
15	Nimes	5	1	2	2	-1	5
16	St Etienne	5	1	2	2	-3	5
17	Amiens	5	1	1	3	-3	4
18	Metz	5	1	1	3	-4	4
19	Monaco	5	0	2	3	-7	2
20	Dijon	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Angers	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Lille	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Nantes	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Toulouse	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Montpellier	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Brest	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Strasbourg	4	1	2	1	-1	5
9	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+6	4
10	Bordeaux	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	Reims	2	1	1	0	+2	4
12	Amiens	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Marseille	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+2	3
15	Metz	2	1	0	1	+1	3
16	Rennes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Nice	2	1	0	1	+0	3
18	St Etienne	2	0	2	0	+0	2
19	Dijon	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Monaco	3	0	1	2	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rennes	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Nice	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Lyon	3	1	1	1	+2	4
5	Bordeaux	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Paris SG	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Reims	3	1	0	2	+0	3
8	Nantes	3	1	0	2	-1	3
9	St Etienne	3	1	0	2	-3	3
10	Montpellier	3	0	2	1	-1	2
11	Nimes	3	0	2	1	-3	2
12	Toulouse	3	0	2	1	-4	2
13	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Monaco	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Brest	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Metz	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Amiens	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Lille	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Angers	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.