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Premiership
Referee: A Muir
Motherwell
U T S S S
1–2
Full-time
Ross County
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Ross County
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
60%
40%
Points per game
2,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
80%
80%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,4
This season — Premiership · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
60%
40%
Points per game
2,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
80%
80%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

13 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 4
6 Corners 4
12 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 3. · Ross County 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 5 5 0 0 +15 15
2 Rangers 5 4 0 1 +7 12
3 Motherwell 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Aberdeen 5 2 2 1 +3 8
5 Livingston 5 2 2 1 +2 8
6 Kilmarnock 5 2 1 2 +0 7
7 Ross County 5 2 1 2 -2 7
8 Hamilton 5 1 1 3 -4 4
9 Hibernian 5 1 1 3 -9 4
10 St Mirren 5 1 0 4 -3 3
11 ST Johnstone 5 0 3 2 -8 3
12 Hearts 5 0 2 3 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Motherwell Ross County
Half-time 0–0
Declan Gallagher 🟨
58′
1–0 A. Campbell
J. Scott
61′
65′
🔁 B. Spittal
↦ E. Henderson
65′
🔁 J. Chalmers
↦ H. Paton
J. Hylton 🔁
↦ S. Seedorf
68′
72′
🔁 B. Graham
↦ T. Grivosti
M. O'Hara 🔁
↦ L. Polworth
74′
75′
B. Graham 1–1
M. Gardyne
Jake Carroll 🟨
78′
Jake Carroll 🟨
80′
Jake Carroll 🟥
80′
84′
🟨 Michael Gardyne
R. Tait 🔁
↦ J. Scott
86′
88′
R. Stewart 1–2
R. Foster
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Motherwell

4-3-3
20 M. Gillespie G
5 P. Hartley D
31 D. Gallagher D
3 J. Carroll D
22 L. Donnelly D
4 L. Grimshaw M
19 L. Polworth M
6 A. Campbell M
44 D. Cole F
17 J. Scott M
11 S. Seedorf F
Bench (7)
14 J. Hylton
52 M. O'Hara
2 R. Tait
1 T. Carson
9 C. Long
24 B. Mugabi
15 B. Maguire

Coach: S. Robinson

Ross County

4-4-2
1 R. Laidlaw G
18 R. Foster D
4 L. Fontaine D
15 K. Watson D
2 M. Fraser D
12 T. Grivosti D
7 M. Gardyne F
24 H. Paton M
17 E. Henderson M
9 B. McKay F
27 R. Stewart F
Bench (7)
20 B. Spittal
23 J. Chalmers
19 B. Graham
16 L. Spence
25 J. Ruddy
14 J. Mullin
8 L. Erwin

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,81
U
3,72
B ✓
4,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,86
U2,5
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Muir · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.