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Pro League
Referee: Bram Van Driessche
St Truiden
S S U S T
0–1
Full-time
Charleroi
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,3
4,2
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 8/4 matches
Win Ø 69%
63%
75%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
38%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,6
4,3
Scored
1,4
2,8
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
9 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Truiden 3. · Charleroi 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 8 5 1 2 +11 16
2 Royal Excel Mouscron 8 5 1 2 +2 16
3 St Truiden 8 5 1 2 +1 16
4 Club Brugge 6 5 0 1 +9 15
5 Antwerp 8 4 3 1 +4 15
6 Anderlecht 6 3 2 1 +2 11
7 Charleroi 4 3 1 0 +5 10
8 Beveren 8 2 3 3 +4 9
9 Kortrijk 8 2 3 3 -3 9
10 Genk 5 2 2 1 +2 8
11 Mechelen 8 1 4 3 -2 7
12 Lokeren 8 2 1 5 -5 7
13 Standard 5 1 2 2 -4 5
14 Gent 6 1 1 4 -2 4
15 Eupen 8 1 1 6 -15 4
16 Oostende 8 0 2 6 -9 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Charleroi
Igor Vetokele 🟨
9′
Charis Charisis 🟨
16′
27′
🟨 Núrio
Half-time 0–0
Casper De Norre 🟨
47′
51′
M. Fall 0–1
S. Marinos
J. Legear 🔁
↦ R. Bezus
57′
73′
🔁 C. Bedia
↦ C. Benavente
78′
🔁 C. Tainmont
↦ M. Fall
S. Asamoah 🔁
↦ A. De Sart
82′
83′
🟨 Stergos Marinos
86′
🔁 M. Ilaimaharitra
↦ A. Baby
D. Dussaut 🔁
↦ J. Botaka
87′
90′
🟨 Kaveh Rezaei
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

St Truiden

4-4-2
21 L. Pirard G
23 S. Kotysch D
26 Jorge Teixeira D
15 S. Kitsiou D
6 S. De Petter M
10 R. Bezus F
8 H. Harisis M
24 C. De Norre D
5 A. De Sart M
14 Vetokele F
7 J. Botaka F
Bench (7)
27 J. Legear
12 S. Asamoah
20 D. Dussaut
1 K. Steppe
18 F. Antunes
28 D. Goutas
30 S. Bourard

Coach: Tintín Márquez

Charleroi

4-4-2
1 N. Penneteau G
17 S. Marinos D
8 Javi Martos D
24 D. Dessoleil D
25 Nurio Fortuna D
18 A. Baby M
13 C. Diandy M
14 C. Benavente M
22 G. Hendrickx M
77 M. Fall F
9 K. Rezaei F
Bench (7)
99 C. Bedia
7 C. Tainmont
26 M. Ilaimaharitra
6 G. Zajkov
10 D. Pollet
28 E. Sağlık
35 P. Mandanda

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bram Van Driessche · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.