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Super League
Referee: A Papapetrou
0–1
Full-time
AEK
T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panetolikos AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,7
This season — Super League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
8 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 7
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 21
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panetolikos 15. · AEK 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Volos NFC 5 4 0 1 -1 12
2 Olympiakos 3 3 0 0 +7 9
3 PAOK 3 3 0 0 +3 9
4 Xanthi 3 3 0 0 +3 9
5 OFI Crete 5 2 2 1 +3 8
6 AEK 3 2 0 1 +2 6
7 Aris 3 1 1 1 +3 4
8 Aris Thessalonikis 3 1 1 1 +3 4
9 Panionios 3 1 0 2 -1 3
10 Asteras Tripolis 4 1 0 3 -2 3
11 Atromitos 4 0 2 2 -2 2
12 Lamia 3 0 2 1 -2 2
13 Larisa 3 0 1 2 -2 1
14 Panathinaikos 4 0 1 3 -10 1
15 Panetolikos 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panetolikos AEK
34′
🟨 Nenad Krstičić
Half-time 0–0
56′
🟨 André Simões
65′
🔁 G. Giakoumakis
↦ C. Albanis
69′
M. Livaja 0–1
P. Mandalos
A. Kavvadias 🔁
↦ A. Lucero
76′
79′
🔁 K. Galanopoulos
↦ N. Krstičić
A. Tsigaras 🔁
↦ A. Tahar
82′
84′
🔁 N. Hult
↦ P. Mandalos
A. Bajrovic 🔁
↦ J. Díaz
89′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Panetolikos

4-2-3-1
1 C. Knett G
5 I. Jovanović D
3 L. Balbi D
21 P. Sagna D
47 A. Malis D
18 A. Lucero M
6 A. Tahar M
11 J. Díaz M
10 Dálcio M
7 V. Morar F
12 G. Ariyibi M
Bench (7)
19 A. Kavvadias
37 A. Tsigaras
9 A. Bajrovic
31 N. Giannakopoulos
20 D. Fytopoulos
54 G. Liavas
28 A. Parras

Coach: Luís Castro

AEK

3-5-2
1 V. Barkas G
19 D. Chygrynskiy D
21 O. Vranješ D
27 Paulinho D
2 M. Bakakis D
3 Hélder Lopes D
6 N. Krstičić M
20 P. Mandalos M
8 André Simões M
10 M. Livaja F
14 C. Albanis F
Bench (7)
9 G. Giakoumakis
25 K. Galanopoulos
23 N. Hult
7 D. Verde
30 G. Athanasiadis
12 Francisco Geraldes
4 M. Oikonomou

Coach: N. Kostenoglou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,91
U
3,59
B ✓
1,59
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,24
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Papapetrou · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.