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Pro League
1–1
Full-time
Mouscron
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waasland-Beveren Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
2,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
0%
57%
Points per game
0,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
57%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
57%
43%
Average goals
3,1
2,4
Scored
0,6
1,4
Conceded
2,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

7 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 4
2 Corners 4
11 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waasland-Beveren 17. · Mouscron 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Standard 8 6 0 2 +14 18
2 Club Brugge 7 5 2 0 +14 17
3 Antwerp 7 5 0 2 +9 15
4 Mechelen 9 4 3 2 +3 15
5 Charleroi 8 4 2 2 +5 14
6 Mouscron 7 4 2 1 +3 14
7 Royal Excel Mouscron 7 4 2 1 +3 14
8 Gent 7 4 1 2 +9 13
9 Genk 8 4 1 3 +5 13
10 St Truiden 10 3 3 4 -4 12
11 Waregem 7 3 2 2 +0 11
12 Oostende 7 3 1 3 -3 10
13 Kortrijk 9 2 2 5 -3 8
14 Anderlecht 8 1 3 4 -4 6
15 Cercle Brugge 8 2 0 6 -9 6
16 Eupen 9 0 4 5 -14 4
17 Waasland-Beveren 7 0 2 5 -14 2
18 Beveren 7 0 2 5 -14 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,36
U ✓
3,56
B
2,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,14
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.