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Eredivisie
Referee: Sander van der Eijk
Groningen
S T U T T
2–0
Full-time
Zwolle
T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,5
4,5
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 27%
20%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
60%
100%
Both score Ø 72%
60%
83%
Average goals
2,2
4,5
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,4
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
18 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Groningen 15. · Zwolle 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 5 4 1 0 +14 13
2 PSV Eindhoven 5 4 1 0 +11 13
3 Twente 7 3 3 1 +4 12
4 Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 2 2 +1 11
5 Vitesse 6 3 2 1 +1 11
6 Heracles 7 3 2 2 -1 11
7 AZ Alkmaar 5 3 1 1 +9 10
8 Utrecht 6 3 1 2 +3 10
9 Feyenoord 5 2 3 0 +2 9
10 Willem II 6 3 0 3 -2 9
11 VVV Venlo 6 3 0 3 -3 9
12 Zwolle 6 2 1 3 -1 7
13 Heerenveen 6 1 3 2 -1 6
14 Den Haag 6 2 0 4 -2 6
15 Groningen 5 1 1 3 -3 4
16 FC Emmen 6 1 0 5 -9 3
17 For Sittard 5 0 2 3 -6 2
18 Waalwijk 7 0 1 6 -17 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Groningen Zwolle
1–0 R. Lundqvist
A. El Messaoudi
19′
Half-time 1–0
55′
🔁 R. Ghoochannejhad
↦ I. Bel Hassani
2–0 A. Hrustic
C. Benschop
59′
Azor Matusiwa 🟨
64′
71′
🔁 D. Johnsen
↦ M. Saymak
M. El Hankouri 🔁
↦ R. Lundqvist
72′
S. Schreck 🔁
↦ A. Hrustic
78′
R. Postema 🔁
↦ A. Matusiwa
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Groningen

4-2-3-1
1 S. Padt G
3 B. van Hintum D
4 M. te Wierik D
21 D. Warmerdam M
42 D. Zeefuik D
17 K. Itakura D
23 A. Hrustic M
10 R. Lundqvist M
18 A. El Messaoudi M
6 A. Matusiwa M
35 C. Benschop F
Bench (11)
14 M. El Hankouri
8 S. Schreck
29 R. Postema
28 T. Sopacua
11 J. Asoro
16 J. Hoekstra
20 A. Absalem
9 K. Sierhuis
27 T. Dallinga
32 M. van Duin
26 D. van Kaam

Coach: D. Buijs

Zwolle

4-2-3-1
1 X. Mous G
5 K. Paal D
31 S. van Wermeskerken D
15 S. Kersten D
11 I. Bel Hassani M
20 T. Bruns M
6 M. Saymak M
19 R. Dekker D
22 P. Clement M
38 G. Hamer M
10 L. Thy F
Bench (8)
8 R. Ghoochannejhad
17 D. Johnsen
16 M. Zetterer
29 D. Lachman
30 D. Huiberts
40 M. Hauptmeijer
36 M. Doue
47 D. Bajselmani

Coach: J. Stegeman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,87
U
3,65
B
3,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,83
U2,5 ✓
1,97
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Sander van der Eijk · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.