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Pro League
Referee: Bram Van Driessche
Charleroi
U S T S U
1–0
Full-time
St Truiden
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
This season — Pro League · 17/27 matches
Win Ø 37%
47%
26%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
47%
59%
Both score Ø 53%
53%
52%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
0,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
10 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 2
4 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 19
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 8. · St Truiden 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mechelen 27 13 5 9 +7 44
2 Waregem 18 13 3 2 +19 42
3 Genk 27 12 6 9 +2 42
4 Club Brugge 18 13 2 3 +27 41
5 Standard 27 10 10 7 +10 40
6 Anderlecht 17 11 4 2 +26 37
7 Oostende 17 11 2 4 +16 35
8 Charleroi 17 8 6 3 +5 30
9 Kortrijk 27 8 6 13 -14 30
10 Lokeren 27 7 8 12 -9 29
11 Gent 17 8 4 5 +7 28
12 Beveren 27 6 9 12 -12 27
13 Eupen 27 7 6 14 -22 27
14 St Truiden 27 7 5 15 -13 26
15 Westerlo 27 5 7 15 -24 22
16 Royal Excel Mouscron 27 5 3 19 -25 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi St Truiden
Half-time 0–0
59′
🟨 Christian Ceballos
61′
🟨 Ruben Fernandes
J. Remacle 🔁
↦ C. Benavente
65′
C. Tainmont 🔁
↦ A. Baby
74′
D. Pollet 🔁
↦ C. Bedia
74′
80′
🔁 W. Janssens
↦ Y. Boli
83′
🔁 M. Bagayoko
↦ D. Dussaut
1–0 H. Harbaoui
C. Tainmont
87′
88′
🔁 A. De Sart
↦ Cristian Ceballos
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Charleroi

4-4-2
1 N. Penneteau G
41 F. N'Ganga D
8 Javi Martos D
24 D. Dessoleil D
25 D. Marcq M
18 A. Baby M
13 C. Diandy M
14 C. Benavente M
19 Clinton Mata M
9 H. Harbaoui F
99 C. Bedia F
Bench (7)
29 J. Remacle
7 C. Tainmont
10 D. Pollet
5 B. Boulenger
6 G. Zajkov
22 G. Hendrickx
35 P. Mandanda

Coach: F. Mazzù

St Truiden

5-3-2
21 L. Pirard G
23 S. Kotysch D
26 Ruben Fernandes D
20 D. Dussaut D
2 B. Mechele D
31 B. Bolingoli Mbombo F
6 S. De Petter M
14 P. Gerkens M
28 Vetokele F
11 Y. Boli F
19 Cristian Ceballos M
Bench (7)
22 W. Janssens
18 M. Bagayoko
5 A. De Sart
10 R. Bezus
13 S. Bruzzese
27 I. Swers
25 K. Abrahams

Coach: I. Leko

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bram Van Driessche · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.