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La Liga
Referee: Guillermo Cuadra
Granada
T U T S S
2–0
Full-time
Barcelona
U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
4,2
Scored
1,8
2,7
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,2
This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 50%
25%
75%
Average goals
3,5
4,8
Scored
2,3
3,0
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

26% Possession 74%
9 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
22 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Granada 7. · Barcelona 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sevilla 4 3 1 0 +4 10
2 Ath Madrid 5 3 1 1 +1 10
3 Villarreal 5 2 2 1 +4 8
4 Real Madrid 4 2 2 0 +3 8
5 Ath Bilbao 4 2 2 0 +3 8
6 Barcelona 4 2 1 1 +5 7
7 Granada 4 2 1 1 +4 7
8 Levante 5 2 1 2 +1 7
9 Sociedad 4 2 1 1 +1 7
10 Osasuna 5 1 4 0 +1 7
11 Alaves 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Betis 5 1 2 2 -3 5
13 Valladolid 5 1 2 2 -3 5
14 Celta 5 1 2 2 -3 5
15 Valencia 4 1 1 2 -2 4
16 Mallorca 4 1 1 2 -2 4
17 Espanol 4 1 1 2 -4 4
18 Getafe 4 0 3 1 -1 3
19 Eibar 5 0 2 3 -3 2
20 Leganes 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Granada Barcelona
1–0 R. Azeez
2′
21′
🟨 Luis Suárez
45′
🟨 Gerard Piqué
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 L. Messi
↦ Carles Pérez
46′
🔁 Ansu Fati
↦ Junior Firpo
Roberto Soldado 🟨
48′
Yangel Herrera 🟨
49′
Carlos Fernández 🔁
↦ Soldado
58′
Vadillo 🔁
↦ D. Machís
62′
62′
🔁 A. Vidal
↦ I. Rakitić
2–0 Vadillo
66′
M. Gonalons 🔁
↦ Y. Herrera
83′
Carlos Fernández Luna 🟨
87′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Granada

4-2-3-1
1 Rui Silva G
16 Víctor Díaz D
22 Domingos Duarte D
6 Germán Sánchez D
15 Carlos Neva D
21 Yangel Herrera M
19 Ángel Montoro M
10 Antonio Puertas M
12 Ramon Azeez M
23 Darwin Machís M
9 Roberto Soldado F
Bench (7)
13 Aarón Escandell
11 İsmail Köybaşı
5 José Antonio Martinez Gil
7 Álvaro Vadillo
4 Maxime Gonalons
20 Adrián Ramos
24 Carlos Fernández Luna

Coach: Diego Martínez

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 Marc-André ter Stegen G
2 Nélson Semedo D
3 Gerard Piqué D
15 Clément Lenglet D
24 Junior Firpo D
20 Sergi Roberto M
21 Frenkie de Jong M
4 Ivan Rakitić M
27 Carles Pérez F
9 Luis Suárez F
17 Antoine Griezmann F
Bench (7)
13 Neto
6 Jean-Clair Todibo
8 Arthur
5 Sergio Busquets
22 Arturo Vidal
31 Anssumane Fati
10 Lionel Messi

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
9,24
U
5,44
B
1,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,55
U2,5 ✓
2,46
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Guillermo Cuadra · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.